Liverpool vs. Cardiff City: Bluebirds Will Stun Reds in Carling Cup Final

Michael DixonAnalyst IIIFebruary 25, 2012

CARDIFF, WALES - JANUARY 24:  Kenny Miller of Cardiff City looks on during the Carling Cup Semi Final second leg match between Cardiff City and Crystal Palace at Cardiff City Stadium on January 24, 2012 in Cardiff, Wales.  (Photo by Michael Steele/Getty Images)
Michael Steele/Getty Images

Be prepared to see an upset in Sunday's Carling Cup final. Liverpool is the clear favorite in this match against Cardiff City, but I am seeing more punch from the underdogs. 

Bovada has Liverpool as a -300 favorite, while Cardiff City is a +900 underdog. Those odds are nothing short of insane. If you have earned your way to the final of such a prestigious event, you have done enough to get more respect than that. 

But this goes a little deeper. Looking at the two clubs, Cardiff City is the one with the more dangerous offensive punch. In the English League Championship, they have shown a diverse offense, as Kenny Miller and Peter Whittingham each have nine goals, while Aron Gunnarson and Joe Mason have five. 

The Bluebirds have the depth in scoring to put constant offensive pressure on the Reds, who have shown too much dependency on Craig Bellamy and Luis Suarez. 

Andi Thomas of ESPN described Cardiff City perfectly. In doing so, he explained why an upset is so likely:

(Manager Malky) Mackay has been entrusted with reshaping the club -- another Project; they're everywhere these days -- and on the pitch this has meant tactically flexible, hard-pressing football.

They are going to force the issue on their opponent, any opponent. This won't be a club lying back, playing in the middle of the field. No, the Bluebirds will attack the Reds. Pick any sport you want—that is how you win, especially as an underdog.

It isn't that Cardiff City is perfect. It can allow goals as well, but it will score, and score a lot. That means that the Carling Cup final is going to be a high-scoring clash, which works in the Bluebirds' favor. Ultimately, there is just too much depth on one side of the field.

The Reds' drought in the Carling Cup will extend for at least another year. When Cardiff City presses the issue and attacks, they are going to be too tough of a matchup for Liverpool.


Prediction: Cardiff City 3, Liverpool 2