Why Indiana Will Beat Kentucky Again and Not Need a Last Second Shot This Time

Eric SmithCorrespondent IIIMarch 18, 2012

BLOOMINGTON, IN - DECEMBER 10:  Christian Watford #2 of the Indiana Hoosiers  and Michael Kidd-Gilchrist #14  of the Kentucky Wildcats reach for a rebound during the Indiana 73-72 victory at Assembly Hall on December 10, 2011 in Bloomington, Indiana.  (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)
Andy Lyons/Getty Images

Indiana is in the sweet 16 for the first time since 2002, and the second time since 1995. The Hoosiers found a way to close out VCU in the end and win when it looked like they would be going home.

Now, the Hoosiers will face Kentucky on Friday night for the second time this season.

Everyone remembers that game on December 10 in Bloomington when Christian Watford hit the game-winning three to give Indiana a 73-72 victory over the Wildcats.

That ended up being Kentucky's only loss of the regular season, as it didn't lose another game until the SEC championship game against Vanderbilt last Sunday.

Many Kentucky fans were outraged, as they lost to their heated rival and vowed that it won't happen again if they get a rematch. I honestly think Indiana will be able to win again on Friday.

Kentucky is very young and very undisciplined. Their freshmen get immature when pushed to the max, and they make bad mistakes.

I don't think that will change on Friday, as Indiana will have the same gameplan as it did in December in putting huge amounts of pressure on the Cats and they will collapse. Teague isn't smart enough to know how to win games yet in college when he's pushed to the max.

I like Indiana's guards in this matchup.

Another reason why Indiana will prevail again is Kentucky's lack of free throw shooting skills.

Teague and Terrance Jones shoot below 70 percent from the line, and playing in a big dome, the shooting won't get any easier.

Indiana, on the other hand, is a great free throw shooting team, and great at getting to the line. I think it will have a huge advantage at the charity stripe and capitalize.

Indiana will get Kentucky in foul trouble like it did in December, and really no other team in the nation has a weaker bench than the Wildcats.

They rely on their five starters and Darius Miller off the bench. Outside of that, there's no talent on that team. Indiana got the Cats in foul trouble in December, and Kentucky was forced to go deeper into its bench as Indiana capitalized on the lesser talent.

That will happen again on Friday.

Anthony Davis is a great talent, but Cody Zeller will once again get Davis in foul trouble. Davis tries to block too many shots and gets in the air and Zeller has gotten so much better as the season goes on to just put his body on the defender while they're in the air and just go to the line.

That's a foul every time a defender leaves his feet and contact is made. I expect Davis to either have two fouls by the midway point in the first half, or Zeller will have 10-plus points early.

Indiana is so good about making it a point at getting opponents in foul trouble that I think the Cats are doomed.

Vanderbilt did these things well against Kentucky in the SEC championship game, and I think Indiana will do it again.

Due to the Hoosiers' shooting, Kentucky's lack of discipline, lack of a bench and Indiana getting Kentucky in foul trouble, I like Indiana in this one.