TCU Horned Frogs vs Kansas Jayhawks Betting Odds Preview and Prediction ColumnistSeptember 11, 2012

ARLINGTON, TX - OCTOBER 28:  Greg McCoy #7 of the TCU Horned Frogs runs during a game against the BYU Cougars at Cowboys Stadium on October 28, 2011 in Arlington, Texas. The TCU Horned Frogs defeated the BYU Cougars 38-28.  (Photo by Sarah Glenn/Getty Images)
Sarah Glenn/Getty Images

TCU's first Big 12 conference game in their inaugural season might be an easy win on the field, but it won't be an easy one at the Vegas sportsbook.

The Horned Frogs opened as huge 21-point road favorites, spotting the hometown Kansas Jayhawks three touchdowns on the NCAA football betting slate Tuesday.

"Since the start of the 2011 season, home dogs of 20 or more points are just 13-23 ATS, meaning that betting the road teams has proven to be a money-making angle," said Jack Randall, handicapping analyst at

Most sportsbooks were listing TCU as road chalk of right around -21 for this game, with an 'over/under' of 60.

While it is ancient history, Kansas beat TCU in three straight seasons from 1995-1997. More recently, TCU has proven to be road warriors, winning 17 of 18 on the highway, according to the matchup report. Meanwhile KU has struggled, losing 11 of 12 overall and six of seven at home.

The Frogs, with 11 starters back from a team that went 11-2 last year, are 1-0 this year after winning their season opener Saturday vs. FCS Grambling State 56-0.

TCU led 28-0 less than 10 minutes into the game, outgained the Tigers 531-70, had their quarterbacks combine to go 17-for-17 for 276 yards. One shop posted TCU as 51-point favorites and they didn't even need to score in the fourth quarter to cover the number.

With the victory the Frogs moved from No. 20 to No. 16 in the weekly AP Top 25 poll.

Kansas, meanwhile, with seven starters back on both sides of the ball after going 2-10 last year, is 1-1 so far in its debut season under new head coach Charlie Weis. The Jayhawks opened with a 31-17 victory over FCS South Dakota State, but are coming off a very tough 25-24 loss at the hand of Rice.

KU led most of the game Saturday, but allowed the Owls to score nine points in the last five minutes, the last three on a 45-yard game-winning field goal on the final play of the game.

The Jayhawks outrushed Rice 195-167, but allowed 403 total yards of Owls offense. New QB Dayne Christ, the transfer from Notre Dame, only threw for 144 yards on 28 attempts and got picked off twice, the second of which led to Rice's game-winning FG.

And Kansas couldn't even win outright as 12-point favorites on the NCAA football betting lines.

Looking ahead to Saturday Kansas might be without both last year's leading rusher and second-leading receiver. RB James Sims will be serving the final game of a three-game suspension, and WR Kale Pick hurt his leg Saturday and is questionable for this week.

These teams haven't met since 1997.

Free Pick: Kansas is a work in progress, and might be missing a couple of key people and we're concerned about TCU's weak first opponent; but we'll give the points and take the Frogs at -21. (courtesy of