Bills vs. Texans: Spread Info, Line and Predictions

Josh Schoch@JoshSchochAnalyst IIINovember 2, 2012

ORCHARD PARK, NY - AUGUST 25: Mario Williams #94 of the Buffalo Bills lines up against the Pittsburgh Steelers at Ralph Wilson Stadium on August 25, 2012 in Orchard Park, New York. (Photo by Rick Stewart/Getty Images)
Rick Stewart/Getty Images

Mario Williams heads back to Houston to take on the Texans for the first time since joining the Buffalo Bills, although he has been given the questionable tag.

The two-time All-Pro defensive end, who said that the Texans forced him out, may be wishing he was part of the team he will be facing on Sunday. His Bills are reeling after having such high hopes entering the season, and after a loss to the Titans two weeks ago the team fell to 3-4 before having their bye week.

The Texans are also coming off a bye, but they had a different story to tell through the first seven weeks of the season, going 6-1 after blowing out the Baltimore Ravens 43-13.

Coming off a bye, both teams will be looking to start the second half of their season off right, but only one will prevail. As these two do battle, this is your guide for the game.


When: Sunday, Nov. 4 at 1:00 p.m. ET

Where: Reliant Stadium, Houston, Tex.

Watch: CBS and DirecTV channel 710

Live Stream: NFL RedZone; Game Rewind; DirecTV NFL Sunday Ticket (Subscriptions Required for All)

Listen (radio): Online via


Spread: Houston -10.5 (via Bovada)

Whenever you see a double-digit spread you know it's a risky bet, but this one seems pretty safe.

Houston's impressive rushing attack, led by Arian Foster, is going to have a field day against a Buffalo front seven that can't stop a runny nose. The Bills are allowing a league-worst 176.9 rushing yards per game, and it's been even worse in their last four games, giving up a combined 937 rushing yards.

Foster is arguably the league's top back, and this is definitively the worst defense against running back this season. With that knowledge I think it's safe to say that we should see a massive blowout on Sunday.


Over/Under: 47 (via Bovada)

Houston's high-powered offense is bound to put up a ton of points against a weak Buffalo defense on Sunday, and having home-field advantage can only help.

However, the question with the over/under is how many points you think the Bills will score. Fred Jackson and C.J. Spiller are both healthy, but the play of Ryan Fitzpatrick under center has been inconsistent at best.

The Texans have a great defense, led by J.J. Watt, and the big question here is whether or not the Bills can put a few scores on the board.


Injury Report

Buffalo Bills (via CBS Sports)

DL Mario Williams Wrist Questionable
DL Mark Anderson Knee Questionable


Houston Texans (via CBS Sports)

RB Ben Tate Hamstring Questionable
DB Quintin Demps Thumb, forearm Questionable


Fantasy Big Plays

Buffalo: RB C.J. Spiller

It's tough to pick just one player in the Bills' backfield to play right now, since Spiller and Jackson have split carries almost 50-50 over the last three weeks.

However, Spiller has been getting quite a few goal-line carries, and adding in a touchdown to this big-play guy's repertoire makes him a dangerous player.

While Houston has a great run defense, they also have a good pass defense, and I don't trust Fitzpatrick against it. I see Spiller getting the most points for any Bills player this week.

Projected Stats: 13 rushes, 52 yards, 1 TD


Houston: RB Arian Foster

Considering he was considered the top fantasy player at the start of the season and he hasn't disappointed, there' no reason to sit Foster this week.

Add in the fact that he's playing a pitiful defense, and he may not have any carries stolen from a questionable Ben Tate, and he could easily go for 30 points this week.

Projected Stats: 28 rushes, 182 yards, 2 TD


Key to Victory

Arian Foster against Buffalo's defense

Foster is, well, an elite running back.

Bauffalo's defense is, well, awful.

If the Bills can somehow find a way to stop Foster then they have a chance to win. However, if he tears them apart this game will be a blowout.



Foster is going to have a field day against the Bills this week. He will likely score quickly and often, just like Chris Johnson and the Tennessee Titans did two weeks ago.

Giving the Texans an extra week to prepare is dangerous, and I fully expect this game to end with Houston dominating for the entire game.

Final Score: Houston 38, Buffalo 9


Keep it locked into Bleacher Report all weekend for extended coverage of Bills-Texans and everything else NFL.


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