Here are 20 fun facts involving some of fantasy's biggest stars leading up to NFL Week 10, which offers the first of many media-driven Super Bowl previews...with the 7-1 Texans battling the 7-1 Bears.
Hopefully, these numbers-based revelations will help bring clarity to your lineup dilemmas.
To view my smartphone-friendly cheat sheet for this weekend, click here.
1. Adrian Peterson warrants the No. 1 overall spot for two reasons: He has rushed for 478 yards and four touchdowns in the last three weeks. And in five career home games against the Lions, Peterson boasts per-outing averages of 132.4 total yards and 1.4 touchdowns.
2. Tom Brady is an easy lock for monster numbers. In his last five games against the Bills, he boasts per-outing averages of 283.4 yards passing and 3.6 touchdowns.
3. It's an unfair comparison, even by Drew Brees standards, but here it goes: In Brees' four home games this season, he's averaging only 297 yards passing and three touchdowns. In his final four Superdome outings last year (including the playoffs), the Saints QB averaged 376 yards passing and 3.8 TDs.
4. A.J. Green has scored a touchdown in seven straight games, with two against the Browns in Week 6. Throw in an attractive matchup with the Giants, and he probably has the best case for No. 1 (among receivers). That aside, the Pittsburgh debacle from three weeks ago (one catch, eight yards, one TD) is a sobering reminder of how Green is far from perfect.
5. LeSean McCoy crushed the Cowboys for 200 total yards and two touchdowns at Philly last year. For good measure, McCoy has either 133 total yards or one touchdown in his last four games as well.
6. Since Week 5, the Bills have surrendered a staggering 202 rushing yards per game—a deflating factoid that doesn't even include the Patriots' Week 4 bludgeoning in Buffalo. On Sept. 30, Stevan Ridley and Brandon Bolden combined for 243 rushing yards and three touchdowns in New England's 52-28 road romp.
7. Granted, it's a small sample size (two career games), but Chris Johnson has averaged 142 total yards and 0.5 touchdowns against the Dolphins. That makes for an interesting stat, considering Miami has the NFL's No. 3 rush defense (83.3 yards per game).
8. The stars are aligned for Vincent Jackson (31 catches, 710 yards, six TDs) having a monster outing against the Chargers, his former team. For Weeks 4 through 7, V-Jax caught 17 balls for 382 yards and four touchdowns at home...and San Diego allowed an average of 313 yards passing and 2.8 TDs to Carson Palmer, Drew Brees, Peyton Manning and Matt Ryan in the first seven weeks.
9. Wide receiver Julio Jones has been a road dynamo for the Falcons. In four games away from the Georgia Dome, he boasts per-outing averages of 6.5 catches, 98 yards and 1.25 TDs.
10. Cincy's Andy Dalton may be on pace for 4,200 yards passing and 28 TDs in his second NFL season, but his record against NFC foes is quite pedestrian. In five non-conference games, Dalton has averaged only 197 yards passing and 1.4 TDs.
11. In his last six games against the Saints, Tony Gonzalez (50 catches, 495 yards, four TDs) has crossed the PPR-elite threshold (among tight ends) of six catches, 80 yards and/or one touchdown four times.
12. Vernon Davis has respectable numbers against the Rams, averaging five catches, 72 yards and 0.33 TDs over the last six meetings (2009-11). Perhaps that'll obscure the deflating fact that Davis hasn't scored a touchdown in four games.
13. Let's exercise some patience with Danny Amendola against the 49ers. He hasn't played since Week 5 (shoulder injury)...and Amendola's five-game track record of outdoors games on grass averages out to 4.6 catches, 45.4 yards and 0.4 touchdowns.
14. Since his breakout campaign of 2004 (13 touchdowns), Antonio Gates has played only four games inside the state of Florida. Of those outings, Gates sports a bad news/good news average of 3.8 catches, 44.8 yards and 0.75 touchdowns.
15. It's easier to spin Marques Colston's recent mini-slump from this angle: Of his last five games, Colston has crossed the PPR-elite threshold of seven catches, 95 yards and/or one touchdown four times. And the one "clunker" of the bunch included 10 Colston targets.
16. Jermaine Gresham was the only Bengals playmaker to crack the century mark in receiving yards last week against Denver (A.J. Green had 105 yards from scrimmage). Of equal importance, in his last six games, Gresham has collected double-digit fantasy points three times.
17. Dwayne Bowe (45 catches, 571 yards, three TDs) is amazingly on pace for 90 catches and 1,100 yards, despite being hindered by the dueling calamity of quarterbacks Matt Cassel and Brady Quinn. And last year, with Tyler Palko as his QB (cue deep sigh), Bowe caught seven balls for 69 yards against the Steelers.
18. Through eight weeks, Heath Miller has tallied double-digit PPR points six times. And the "ugly-duckling" performance from Week 5 still produced eight points. That's a respectable nadir for a non-superstar asset at tight end.
19. There are three reasons to be optimistic about DeSean Jackson (37 catches, 624 yards, two TDs) and his sluggish start:
- D-Jax has collected seven-plus targets in all eight games.
- Dating back to last year, Jackson has averaged 10-plus yards per catch in 12 straight games.
- In his last three games against the Cowboys, Jackson boasts averages of four catches, 110 yards and 0.33 touchdowns.
20. No need to panic on Wes Welker's mini-slump. For Weeks 3 through 6, he had four straight outings of eight-plus catches, double-digit targets and triple-digit yardage. Plus, in his last three games against Buffalo, Welker amassed 31 catches, 397 yards and two touchdowns.
Jay Clemons can be reached on Twitter, day or night, at @ATL_JayClemons.
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