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NFL Picks Week 10: Complete Guide to Chiefs vs. Steelers

Ben Roethlisberger is playing some great football this season.
Ben Roethlisberger is playing some great football this season.Jeff Zelevansky/Getty Images
Stephen SheehanCorrespondent INovember 12, 2012

In a showdown of two of the NFL's most historic franchises, Monday night figures to be a lopsided affair. 

While the Pittsburgh Steelers are in the midst of a three-game winning streak, the Kansas City Chiefs have been an utter embarrassment outside of a fluke win against New Orleans

The Steelers figure to bring heavy pressure against Matt Cassel and the hapless Chiefs, who look destined for another top-five pick in the upcoming draft. 

Let's break down Monday night's matchup between these two polar opposites. 

 

Where: Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, PA 

When: Monday, Nov. 12 at 8:30 p.m. ET

Watch: ESPN 

 

Spread: Steelers (-13) over Chiefs 

Between the Chiefs' ineptitude on offense and the Steelers' tenacious defense, Pittsburgh should easily cover the spread. It's tough to picture Matt Cassel putting up much of a fight, even against a secondary that's been missing Troy Polamalu. With Ben Roethlisberger playing some of the best football of his career, expect the Steelers to cover the 13-point spread easily. 

 

Over/Under: 41

While this one could get ugly, don't expect it to be a high-scoring affair. 

The Steelers will be playing without Antonio Brown—their most dependable and versatile receiver—due to a high-ankle sprain

Mike Wallace always presents a threat as one of the premier vertical threats in the game, but 60 Minutes hasn't dominated an entire game in over a year. 

With Pittsburgh dealing with injuries at the running back spot as well, expect some kinks in the offense. 

As far as the Chiefs, they would be lucky to top 14 on the Steelers. 

Even though Pittsburgh isn't the clear No. 1 defense in the NFL anymore, Dick LeBeau knows how to draw up a scheme to make Matt Cassel look even worse than he already is. 

My over/under pick: 34 

 

Key Matchups


Steelers offensive tackles vs. Tamba Hali and Justin Houston

It seems no matter how many draft picks the Steelers invest in their front five, Ben Roethlisberger is always fighting for his life. 

Rookie David DeCastro was supposed to be a Day 1 starter, but a knee injury has kept him off the field. 

Second-rounder Mike Adams has been forced to play more than expected at both tackle spots and has predictably struggled. 

Both he and Max Starks will have their big paws full against the Chiefs' ferocious pass-rushing duo of Hali and Houston. 

The two outside linebackers have combined for 11 sacks and form one of the league's most devastating combos. 

 

Pittsburgh Linebackers vs. Jamaal Charles

Jamaal Charles' return from a torn ACL hasn't been at an Adrian Peterson level (then again, who is?), but the explosive tailback has shown flashes of his former self. 

However, fumbles and a recent light workload have caused the one-time fantasy stud to be a big question mark. 

The undersized but speedy runner will have his work cut out for him against Pittsburgh's improving run defense. 

No longer the impenetrable unit it once was, the Steelers rank No. 7 in rushing yards allowed per game, but still present a tough matchup for any rushing attack with Casey Hampton, Lawrence Timmons and Brett Keisel up front. 

 

Prediction: The Steelers go conservative on offense and put a ton of heat on Matt Cassel and defend their home turf with a 24-10 victory. 

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