The colder it gets, the clearer NFL teams’ identities become.
In Week 11, contenders will pick off pretenders while the rest of the league, with April in mind, has already surrendered. As clubs’ true colors are revealed, here are projections for each contest.
Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills
Miami scored just three points on a Tennessee Titans defense that was on pace to surrender more points than any stop unit in NFL history last week.
Buffalo by 10.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers
The Bucs beat Carolina in Week 1, are on a three-game winning streak, have won four of their past five and haven’t lost by more than seven points this year.
Tampa Bay by seven.
Cleveland Browns at Dallas Cowboys
Cleveland has lost just one game this season by more than 10 points. It always competes, but it also almost always ends up on the losing end.
Dallas by 10.
New York Jets at St. Louis Rams
Mark Sanchez is awful. The Rams just tied one of the best teams in the league in the San Francisco 49ers. Simple math.
St. Louis by three.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans
Jacksonville’s offense is a joke. It's ranked dead last in the NFL in points and yards. The Texans will clown them.
Houston by 21.
Arizona Cardinals at Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta’s undefeated record was just ruined by a team in the New Orleans Saints that it desperately wanted to defeat. It’s angry. Arizona is in its way.
Atlanta by 13.
Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City hasn’t won since Week 2. The Bengals just owned the defending champs.
Cincinnati by 14.
Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions
Detroit is hot and cold while the Packers haven’t lost since Andrew Luck splashed them with a bucket of ice water.
Green Bay by three.
Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Redskins
Philadelphia is in shambles. Even if the concussed Michael Vick is able to suit up, at home and with two weeks to prepare, it’s the Skins’ game to lose.
Washington by three.
New Orleans Saints at Oakland Raiders
Oakland surrendered 55 points to an average offense in the Baltimore Ravens. Drew Brees and company are drooling.
New Orleans by 20.
San Diego Chargers at Denver Broncos
Since scoring 35 unanswered points against the Chargers earlier in the year, Denver is 3-0. San Diego, on the other hand, is 1-2 including a loss to the Browns.
Denver by 10.
Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots
Bill Belichick traditionally eats rookie quarterbacks for breakfast. Andrew Luck is one special rookie quarterback, though.
New England by six.
Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh will enter its Monday night matchup with the Chiefs riding a three-game winning streak (so they’ll play the Ravens off of four straight wins). The last respectable team Baltimore played in the Houston Texans embarrassed it 43-13.
Pittsburgh by three.
Chicago Bears at San Francisco 49ers
If Alex Smith’s concussion keeps him out of action, the Bears’ defense will eat Colin Kaepernick alive.
Chicago by 10.
David Daniels is a featured columnist at Bleacher Report and a syndicated writer.