Peyton Manning: Breaking Down Fantasy Expectations for Broncos QB vs. Chargers

Rob GoldbergFeatured ColumnistNovember 16, 2012

DENVER, CO - OCTOBER 28:  Quarterback Peyton Manning #18 of the Denver Broncos runs with the ball during the third quarter against the New Orleans Saints at Sports Authority Field Field at Mile High on October 28, 2012 in Denver, Colorado. The Broncos defeated the Saints 34-14.  (Photo by Justin Edmonds/Getty Images)
Justin Edmonds/Getty Images

Peyton Manning will look to continue his incredible run this week against the San Diego Chargers. If you have him on your fantasy football team, consider yourself lucky.

In the last seven games, the quarterback has thrown for at least 290 passing yards every time, while also tossing three touchdown passes in five of those contests. 

Manning has led the Denver Broncos to four straight wins and is now an MVP candidate with his league-leading 108 quarterback rating.

The question that fantasy owners have is whether this production will continue in Week 11.


The Chargers are in the middle of the pack in the league with 234.1 passing yards allowed per game, but the defense has been better as of late. In the last three games, opposing quarterbacks have only thrown for 173 yards on average.

However, San Diego also has a very impressive run defense, which is ranked No. 2 in the NFL behind the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. This means opponents are much more likely to try to beat this defense through the air instead of on the ground.

In addition, this team has allowed 16 passing touchdowns this season, only a few behind the league lead. Therefore, there should be room for Manning to have a productive game.

Worst-Case Scenario: 14 points

Since the second quarter of Week 2, Manning has an incredible 19-3 touchdown-to-interception ratio. It is unlikely he will have anything that resembles a bad game.

Still, there is a chance he does not rack up the fantasy points as many hope.

In the last four games, the Broncos have gotten five touchdowns from its defense and special teams. Chargers quarterback Philip Rivers has also had a few interceptions returned for touchdowns in that time.

This hurts Manning's fantasy output because he will have the ball less, and he will be forced to throw less often if his team has a big lead.

Denver can easily score points without him, but there is a very good chance he still manages to get a touchdown like he has in every game this year. He should also have plenty of yards to prevent a terrible day.

Best-Case Scenario: 25 points

Fantasy owners should hope that this game turns into a shootout between two high-scoring teams.

Rivers has struggled at times, but he still has the ability to help his team score a lot of points. This will force Manning to stay aggressive like he was the last time these teams played. The end result: 309 passing yards and three touchdowns.

Receivers Demaryius Thomas and Eric Decker are as good as anyone in the league at making big plays out of nothing and it will help lead to a big day for the quarterback.


Unless you also have Drew Brees or Aaron Rodgers, Manning should be started in every league. He is as safe of a players as there is in fantasy football and is very likely to get 20 points every time out.

Keep him in your lineup and enjoy the benefits of owning one of the best quarterbacks in NFL history.

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