Saints vs. Raiders: Spread Info, Line and Predictions

Rob Goldberg@TheRobGoldbergFeatured ColumnistNovember 17, 2012

NEW ORLEANS, LA - NOVEMBER 11:   Jimmy Graham #80 of the New Orleans Saints yells as he is introduced before playing the Atlanta Falcons at The Mercedes-Benz Superdome on November 11, 2012 in New Orleans, Louisiana.  (Photo by Chris Graythen/Getty Images)
Chris Graythen/Getty Images

Although only one game separates the records of the New Orleans Saints and Oakland Raiders, these teams are moving in very different directions.

Last week, the Saints became the first team to defeat the Atlanta Falcons. This marked New Orleans' fourth win in five games, as the squad tries to reach the playoffs after an 0-4 start.

On the other side, the Raiders have lost four of their last six games, only defeating the one-win Jacksonville Jaguars and the one-win Kansas City Chiefs in that stretch.

Still, these two teams can light up the scoreboard and it should be an enjoyable game from start to finish.

When: November 18 at 4:05 p.m. ET

Where: Coliseum, Oakland, Calif.

Watch: FOX

Live Stream: NFL Sunday Ticket

Listen: Saints Radio Affiliates, Raiders Radio Affiliates 

Spread: Saints (-4.5) via Vegas Insider

The Saints not only have the talent, but the momentum and confidence from the last few games should allow this team to keep playing well.

New Orleans proved that it can win on the road by defeating the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and this week's opponent has not been able to stop anyone defensively.

Oakland will likely struggle to even keep this game close.

Over/Under: 54.5 via Vegas Insider

This is the highest mark of the week, but there is no reason to be shy about taking the over.

The Raiders have allowed 97 points in the last two games and are currently last in the NFL at 31.6 points allowed per game. The Saints are not far behind at 28.4.

In addition, both offenses are among the best in the league and will pass the ball all day long to be successful.

At the end of the day, this could end up being one of the highest scoring games of the season. 

Injury Report as of Nov. 16 via ESPN


DE Junior Galette (Ankle) Out

WR Courtney Roby (Shoulder) Probable

RB Darren Sproles (Hand) Questionable


FB Marcel Reece (Hamstring) Probable

DT Richard Seymour (Hamstring) Out

S Tyvon Branch (Neck) Questionable

RB Mike Goodson (Ankle) Out

WR Darrius Heyward-Bey (Hamstring) Questionable

RB Darren McFadden (Ankle) Out

Fantasy Big Plays

Drew Brees

While it might seem obvious to start Drew Brees, this might be a game that he can carry your entire fantasy team. 

This defense has given up a passing touchdown in every game this season.

Last week, it allowed 29 points to Joe Flacco and the Baltimore Ravens quarterback is far from Brees' level.

Considering the veteran is already the leading scorer in fantasy, there is no question that he will be able to thrive on Sunday.

Denarius Moore

Carson Palmer has played very well recently, but he has been held back by his turnovers. Four interceptions in the last two weeks prevent him from taking the next step as a quarterback in real life and in fantasy football.

However, he still throws for a lot of yards and Denarius Moore is the primary benefactor.

The receiver has a touchdown in four of the last five games and has been a consistent part of the offense with at least eight targets every week.

Against the second-worst passing defense in the NFL, Moore should have a big day.

Saints Key to Victory: Stop the Pass

As bad as the Saints are against the pass, they are worse against the run.

New Orleans is ranked dead last in the NFL with 162 rushing yards allowed per game. 

Fortunately, the Raiders are basically out of running backs. Darren McFadden and Mike Goodson are both out with high-ankle sprains, leaving Marcel Reece, who is better used as a receiver out of the backfield.

Last week against the Ravens, Reece lead the team with only 13 carries.

This will allow the Saints to focus primarily on stopping the pass and it should lead to more success on that side of the football.

Raiders Key to Victory: Avoid Turnovers

Carson Palmer has thrown interceptions in all but two games this season. However, this is a problem that the entire team needs to fix.

The Raiders have six turnovers in the last two games combined and that is a big reason both games ended in losses.

Overall, the team has a negative-three turnover ratio for the season and it is not doing its struggling defense any favors.

Holding onto the ball will not only lead to more points, but it will help the defense when it does not have a short field on every drive.

Prediction: Saints 38, Raiders 28

With Joe Vitt as the interim head coach, the Saints are finally starting to look like the team that won 13 games last year. The offense is playing extremely well and the defense is starting to hold up its end of the bargain.

Although the Raiders have not played as poorly as their 3-6 record indicates, this defense will be completely over matched on Sunday and will not be able to keep up on the scoreboard.

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