NFL Week 11 Picks: Underdogs Sure to Cover the Spread

Chris Hummer@chris_hummerAnalyst INovember 17, 2012

November 8, 2012; Jacksonville FL, USA; Indianapolis Colts quarterback Andrew Luck (12) throws the ball during the first quarter against the Jacksonville Jaguars at EverBank Field. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-US PRESSWIRE

It's Week 11 of the NFL season, and at this point playoff races are getting heated and the contenders are starting to separate from the pretenders.

Still, every week there are teams that are disrespected by the oddsmakers, either because they've had a bad couple of weeks or they're going up against a powerhouse.

But, that's great news for you, because there are always a few teams that will easily cover the spread from week to week.

Here are those underdogs that will come out on top, at least for you, in Week 11.


San Diego +7.5 vs Denver

If there were a race for most disappointing team this season, the Chargers would be out in front of the pack. But then again, they'd probably stumble at the finish line before they won that. It’s just what they do.

They’re just a very talented team that has done nothing but underperform.

Now, a streaking Denver Broncos squad is headed into town, and the oddsmakers have made Peyton Manning and company 7.5-point favorites.

The Chargers have not played well, but if they want any shot at the playoffs, San Diego must find a way to take this game.

Expect Phillip Rivers to play his best game of the season and match Manning throw-for-throw, with a solid Chargers defense making the difference in the contest.


Indianapolis +9.5 at New England

The Colts and head onto the road for the toughest test thus far of super-rookie Andrew Luck's career.

Indianapolis enters the game at 6-3 but still finds itself as 9.5-point underdogs to Tom Brady and the Patriots.

I've got to say, I don't think the oddsmakers have seen Andrew Luck play. The Colts have been in every game this year thanks to the unflappable nature of their rookie QB, and it won't be any different against the Pats.

New England is the third-worst unit versus the pass in the NFL, and it just so happens that's what Luck and the Indy offense do best.

They might not be able to edge the Patriots in Foxboro, but expect the game to come down to the final moments and Indianapolis to cover that 9.5-point spread.


Jacksonville +15 at Houston 

OK, the Jaguars are bad and the Texans are very good, but these are all professional football players.

A 15-point spread is ridiculous.

Houston won by 20 points the first time around, but Blaine Gabbert is starting to play better and Cecil Shorts has emerged as a go-to target.

Houston will get their share of points, but expect The Jaguars to do enough to keep it to a two-touchdown game.

If not, the Jags better start thinking about what they want to do with the No. 1 pick.

All odds from