Aqueduct Picks: Horse Racing Odds for Heineken Holidayfest

OddsShark.comFeatured ColumnistNovember 23, 2012

CHRISTCHURCH, NEW ZEALAND - NOVEMBER 17: Mark Du Plessis riding Rollout The Carpet wins the New Zealand Bloodstock 40th 1000 Guineas during the New Zealand Cup 2012 at Riccarton Park Racecourse on November 17, 2012 in Christchurch, New Zealand.  (Photo by Martin Hunter/Getty Images)
Martin Hunter/Getty Images

Horseplayers will be treated to plenty of outstanding horse betting action this weekend, with Saturday’s Heineken Holidayfest at Aqueduct featuring four graded stakes on an outstanding 10 race wagering card.

The headliner on Saturday is the $350,000 Cigar Mile (G1), with the brilliant filly Groupie Doll taking on the boys just three weeks after capturing the Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Sprint (G1).

The other stakes on Saturday’s card are the $350,000 Gazelle (G1) for three-year-old fillies, the $250,000 Remsen (G2) for two-year-olds, and the $250,000 Demoiselle (G2) for two-year-old fillies.

Here are selections for Saturday’s stakes action, according to the Aqueduct Report.


The $250,000 Demoiselle (G2)

Unlimited Budget was a good looking maiden winner in her debut here going a mile over a wet track, drawing clear to win by 8.5 lengths. The filly was overlooked at 7-1 odds as the Shug barn had the heavy favorite Brilliant Jewel, who popped an 92 Beyer in her debut but failed to fire in a fifth place finish.

Our top pick has enough pedigree to handle the stretch out to nine furlongs. She is by Street Sense out of a stakes placed Valid Appeal mare that has dropped four other winners including a pair of stakes winners, top earner Jardin ($168K). The barn's juveniles have been very live in 2012 and this gal looks like she should move forward off her debut. Her entrymate, Coconut Shrimp, ran on Thursday and will scratch.


The $250,000 Remsen (G2)

Micromanage was one of the better-looking Pletcher firsters sent out at the Spa, breaking his maiden in his debut, and then coming back with a fifth place finish in the Champagne (G1) in his stakes debut last out.

The colt stalked the early pace, came three wide around the far turn and widest coming into the stretch and did not go on, checking in 10 lengths behind the winner. The winner was Shanghai Bobby, who came back to win the Breeders' Cup Juvenile (G1) and the runner up Goldencents won the Delta Jackpot (G3) in his next outing last Saturday.

The Pletcher trainee has enough pedigree to handle nine furlongs. He is by Medaglia d'Oro out of the stakes winner Catnip ($123K) who has dropped nine other winners including a pair of stakes winners, top earner Indescribable ($476K).

Entrymate Overanalyze was no match for Shanghai Bobby in the Hopeful (G1) back in September but came back to win the Futurity (G2) in his third career start. Last out, the colt checked in third in the Iroquois at Churchill Downs where he tracked the early pace, lost position going around the far turn, came five wide and made a mild late run. Ramon picks up the call and completes a strong entry for Pletcher.


The $350,000 Cigar Mile (G1)

Groupie Doll takes on the boys here just three weeks after capturing the Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint (G1), her fifth consecutive win. The filly was out six wide at the 5'8's and four wide on the turn, drawing off in the stretch to win by 4.5 widening lengths.

She was one of the few that made up ground or raced wide that had much of an impact on the day, as the racing surface was kind to inside speed that day.

She has earned solid figs going a one turn mile and she should get a good pace set up in here as it looks as if the early pace will be contested among the three breaking from the inside. If she rolls over this field the way she beat her own sex the past few races, she enters the conversation for Horse of the Year.


The $350,000 Gazelle (G1)

My Wandy's Girl made her U.S. debut last out in the Pentelis at 6 1/2 furlongs off a two-and-a-half month break and was a good looking winner, her 14th win in 18 career starts. She is a two time Group 1 winner in Puerto Rico and perfect in two trips at 1 / 1-8 miles. She won the Roberto Clemente (G2) two back in the mud at 1 / 1-8 miles by more than a dozen lengths. She won last out like she is going to move forward here on the stretch out. The Hushion barn is 32 percent winners (with a +ROI) moving runners from sprint to route.

Michael's Aqueduct Report includes his free selections, analysis, fair odds line, and wagering recommendations. Michael has been handicapping the New York circuit on a daily basis for nearly three decades.