NFL Week 14 Picks: Home Teams Guaranteed to Prevail

Patrick Clarke@@_Pat_ClarkeCorrespondent IDecember 6, 2012

November 25, 2012; Tampa, FL, USA; Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Josh Freeman (5) calls a play during the second half against the Atlanta Falcons at Raymond James Stadium. Atlanta Falcons defeated the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24-23. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports
Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are smiling from ear to ear coming into Week 14 as they get set to welcome the Philadelphia Eagles to town.

This weekend's matchup comes at the perfect time for Greg Schiano's Bucs, who have dropped their last two games and are in danger of falling out of the NFC playoff hunt. After all, the Eagles are in total shambles having lost eight in a row and sporting a dreadful 1-5 road record in 2012.

It's safe to say that Tampa Bay is guaranteed to prevail at home in Week 14. 

As for the rest of this weekend's action, here are my picks for home teams set to prevail.


Green Bay Packers

Green Bay hasn't lost a home game since Week 1 when the San Francisco 49ers left Wisconsin with a 30-22 victory. The Pack has won five games at Lambeau since and has already knocked off its Week 14 opponent, the Detroit Lions once this season, back in Week 11.

While the Packers have won six of their last seven overall, the Lions have dropped four straight, including a demoralizing loss to the Indianapolis Colts at home last Sunday, giving up a game-winning touchdown pass with no time left on the clock. To make matters worse, Detroit has only won two road games all season, and therefore should find success very difficult to come by in a hostile environment this weekend.

The Packers rank middle-of-the-pack on both sides of the ball, but since mid-October they've found countless ways to win football games. 

Given the Lions' knack for implosion in 2012, it only seems fitting that they make one too many mistakes on Sunday afternoon, ultimately costing themselves a shot at avenging their November loss to their division rivals.


Pittsburgh Steelers

Pittsburgh got a monumental win at Baltimore last weekend, and that bodes extremely well for the Steelers this weekend when they take on the reeling San Diego Chargers.

San Diego has lost four in a row and seven of its last eight following a 3-1 start. The Chargers haven't beaten a team other than the Kansas City Chiefs since Week 2. Entering Week 14, all signs point to the Steelers winning easily at home, especially considering that they have plenty to play for. 

Watch for Pittsburgh's top five defense to wreak havoc on Philip Rivers and the Bolts, who have scored just 13 points at home in each of the past two weeks. And with Ben Roethlisberger working to potentially make his return on Sunday, bad news could get worse for the Chargers before kickoff. 

Regardless of the Steelers' quarterback situation though, they are guaranteed to win. They are 5-1 at home this season, where they haven't allowed a single opponent to score more than 14 points in 2012.


Seattle Seahawks

The Seahawks will have two mighty advantages in Week 14. The first, is that they will be playing at home at CenturyLink Field, where they are a perfect 5-0 this season. The second, is that they will be hosting the Arizona Cardinals, who have dropped their last eight games after starting 4-0.

Arizona is just 1-5 on the road this season and hasn't beaten any team since September. Therefore this pick boils down to the Cardinals' ineptitude rather than how formidable the Seahawks are or will be.

Arizona scored six points in a road loss to the New York Jets in Week 13 and is poised to get crushed at Seattle after traveling all the way back across the country. 

Meanwhile, the Seahawks are coming off a confidence-boosting overtime win at Chicago, and can smell the playoffs with three of their last four games at home in 2012. Look for Seattle to join Green Bay and Pittsburgh in winning big at home on Sunday afternoon.


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