Andrew Luck has been nothing short of a revelation this season, and fantasy football owners who took a chance on the young signal-caller have been highly rewarded.
While the rookie has been prone to interceptions, throwing 16, he’s been a yardage machine, throwing for 299.7 yards per game, and produced 22 touchdowns, 17 passing and five rushing.
In Week 14, Luck’s Indianapolis Colts are gearing up to take on their AFC South rivals, the Tennessee Titans. It’s their second meeting of the season. Indy was able to steal the first matchup with a thrilling overtime victory.
The former Stanford standout performed well in that Week 8 showdown, completing 26 of 38 passes for 297 yards, one touchdown and one interception, while rushing six times for 28 yards.
We expect him to put up similar numbers on fewer attempts, as the Colts have improved, winning four of their five contests since that OT bloodbath. Considering the Titans have lost four of their last five, you could say these franchises are heading in opposite directions.
Tennessee boasts the league's No. 27-ranked defense and gives up an average of more than 257 yards via the air and 129 on the ground. Luck’s speedy development as a pure passer will likely see him shred this unit in a much more efficient fashion compared to six weeks ago.
With this in mind, we expect Luck to complete 22 of 27 passes for 283 yards, two touchdowns and one interception, with five rushes for 31 yards.
Those are highly respectable numbers, and fantasy owners should feel extremely safe using him in any format.
Because the Colts defense is highly suspect, there is a chance those numbers will become inflated, especially if the team falls in an early hole and Luck needs to throw to get them back in the game.
Those of you in fantasy playoffs or still fighting for a spot late in the regular season need to put your trust in Luck, as he’ll guide you to victory.