Speculation surrounding R.A. Dickey and the Toronto Blue Jays has been somewhat prevalent for a few weeks now.
Rumors involving a potential Jays deal with the New York Mets for their ace R.A. Dickey are now re-surfacing. According to Jon Heyman of cbssports.com, the Jays are currently the front-runners, with the Baltimore Orioles and Texas Rangers being fairly quiet on the subject at the moment:
Orioles and rangers don't seem in middle of dickey talks at moment. As said, blue jays are frontrunners— Jon Heyman (@JonHeymanCBS) December 14, 2012
Heyman also points out that the Jays have the prospects to pull off this kind of deal:
Signs point to #bluejays leading in dickey chase. Have the prospects to get it done.— Jon Heyman (@JonHeymanCBS) December 14, 2012
With the offseason that the Blue Jays have had thus far, it would seem fitting for them to solidify their rotation with their reigning National League Cy Young Award winner.
His $5 million salary for 2013 also bodes well for the Jays, considering they've already spent much of their available cash by acquiring Josh Johnson, Jose Reyes, Mark Buehrle and company.
A starting rotation consisting of Josh Johnson, R.A. Dickey, Brandon Morrow, Mark Buehrle and Ricky Romero would undoubtedly be an imposing one and would make the Jays immediate title contenders.
There are problems with dealing for Dickey though.
I wrote an article about why trading for Dickey would be a bad idea a few weeks ago.
In addition to the problems I mentioned in that article, the window for the Jays to win with the team that Alex Anthopoulos currently has assembled will be open for about one year.
Why is that?
Because both Dickey and Josh Johnson will be free agents this year, and re-signing both will be a nearly impossible task.
With the deals handed out to free agent starting pitchers this offseason, it stands to reason both guys will be offered $20 million per season for at least two or three years when they hit the open market.
Toronto just doesn't have the money to sign both of them.
This leads me to believe that the Jays would let Dickey go, and try to re-sign Johnson, just because Johnson has many years left of productivity in front of him, whereas Dickey may only have three or four years of being an effective pitcher left in him.
If that were the case, the package that the Mets are probably looking for in order to deal Dickey would be far too expensive for just a season's work.
The Texas Rangers would be a much more likely fit for Dickey, as they would have the money to keep him for the remainder of his career.
While trading for Dickey would make the Jays rotation one to be reckoned with in 2013, it would also be a huge risk. A risk that isn't necessary, considering the Jays already have a team that can win.