With Chris Johnson, you have to take the boom with the bust.
Today's article of the day comes from Vince Verhei of the Football Outsiders, who writes an ESPN Insider piece arguing that now is the time for the Tennessee Titans to cut bait with their star running back.
Verhei uses the same sort of statistical similarity scores I did when looking at Johnson's trajectory. He comes to a similar conclusion. The future for Johnson is limited.
Given that 2012 has been something of a bounce-back year for CJ2K, it's important to note that he's still had six terrible outings.
Teams need a running game that can be depended on. The run offense is supposed to be a stable component to the scoring attack. It's difficult to build consistency around a back whose value shifts wildly from game to game and even snap to snap.
Is Chris Johnson worth $9 million next year?
It's difficult to argue that he is.
Six other players have more rushing yards than Johnson does. The two men that top the list, Arian Foster and Adrian Peterson, make that kind of money, but no one else in the top 10 even comes close.
Johnson has value and he may or may not have some solid years left in him, but there's little doubt he's not in the class of Peterson.
He's not worth Peterson money.
Scott Kacsmar of Cold Hard Football Facts looks at the week's comebacks.
Vince Verhei of Football Outsiders has the weekly Quick Reads.
Kacsmar, this time on Bleacher Report, wonders if the playoffs will bring more blowouts.
Chase Stuart of the New York Times says the playoff field looks similar to that of last year and other recent years.
Jason Lisk of the Big Lead argues that J.J. Watt has already sealed up defensive player of the year.
John McClain of the Houston Chronicle says Arian Foster is up for an award.
Matt Grecco of Stampede Blue goes inside the numbers for the Colts.
Kyle Rodriguez of Colts Authority looks at why Vontae Davis had a rough game against Houston.
Phil B. Wilson of the Indianapolis Star wonders who besides Andrew Luck should be the Colts' MVP.
Tom Gower of Total Titans posts a snap report.
Music City Miracles looks back at the 2007 draft.
David Climer of the Tennessean asks for time for Jake Locker.
Vito Stellino of the Florida Times-Union runs down all the roster moves made by the Jaguars.
Ryan O'Halloran of the Florida Times-Union tracks a year's worth of offensive line shuffling.