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Handicapping L.A. Lakers Players' Odds of Making the 2013 NBA All Star Game

Dwight Howard, Kobe Bryant, Metta World Peace and Pau Gasol are all on the 2013 NBA All-Star Game Ballot
Dwight Howard, Kobe Bryant, Metta World Peace and Pau Gasol are all on the 2013 NBA All-Star Game BallotEzra Shaw/Getty Images
Roberto PayneContributor IDecember 21, 2012

Four Los Angeles Lakers players are on the 2013 NBA All-Star ballot, and it looks like three of the four have a pretty good shot at making the game.

All four Lakers (Kobe Bryant, Pau Gasol, Dwight Howard and Metta World Peace) were included in the first official ballot release.

This is common for the Lakers and, most likely, three of the four players will be on the Western Conference All-Star team.

It's even more likely that two of the four will be starting the All-Star game.

Let's look at the odds of each player to make the 2013 NBA All-Star Game.

First off, let's look at Kobe Bryant's odds of making the Western Conference All-Star team.

Kobe is one of the best players in the NBA and has played, and started, in 14 All-Star games in his career.

Kobe has become a staple of the West All-Stars and, barring injury, there's no shot he isn't a starter on the team.

I set Kobe's odds at 100 percent because he is way too popular and talented to not be selected for the game.

Next, let's look at Pau Gasol's odds of making the Western Conference All-Star team.

Gasol has missed eight games this season with knee tendinitis and hasn't looked like himself when playing.

Pau is averaging a career low 12.4 PPG and has once again been under significant scrutiny for his play.

Looking at how other Western Conference big men are playing, Gasol doesn't seem to have a fantastic shot at making the team.

His main competition includes LaMarcus Aldridge, Tim Duncan, Kevin Durant, Marc Gasol, Rudy Gay, Blake Griffin, Dwight Howard, Serge Ibaka, David Lee, Kevin Love and Zach Randolph.

At this point, it wouldn't be far fetched to say that Pau is playing worse than each one of these players.

Throw in that he would have to fight for a reserve spot and it's tough to imagine Pau making the team.

I set Gasol's odds at 33 percent because he hasn't played well this season and is battling several quality frontcourt players.

Now, let's look at Dwight Howard's odds of making the Western Conference All-Star team.

Along with Kobe, Howard is one of the most popular players in the NBA and a huge marketing asset for the league.

Howard is a six-time All-Star (five-time All-Star game starter) and is currently on pace to start in the frontcourt for the West All-Stars.

I set Howard's odds at 100 percent because, like Kobe, he is extremely popular and clearly the best player in the NBA at his position.

Finally, let's look at Metta World Peace's odds of making the Western Conference All-Star team.

MWP is clearly the least talented member of the Los Angeles Lakers on the All-Star game ballot.

He clearly will have an extremely difficult path to the All-Star game and he's in a similar boat that Pau Gasol is in, as the West has plenty of serviceable frontcourt players.

MWP's best shot at making the All-Star game is as a reserve, but even that doesn't seem very likely.

I set Metta's odds at 5 percent because there is the chance for injuries and World Peace could potentially be on the short list of injury replacements.

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