ESPN's Chris Mortensen reported that it is a "virtual certainty" that Tebow will end up with the Jacksonville Jaguars next season. Even if he does not, it is almost definite that he will not be with the Jets:
Tebow reportedly will be traded or released after the season, but league sources say the Jets are likely to honor Tebow's forthcoming request to be released and therefore become an unrestricted free agent.
Therefore, the quarterback can end up anywhere next year. Among all of the options, the Chiefs make the most sense.
In order for Tebow to succeed, he needs the perfect set of circumstances around him. He is not a drop-back passer that will pick apart a secondary. He needs help to win games.
The Denver Broncos were able to provide a solid defense, a great running game and receivers that were able to make plays after the catch.
During the magical six-game winning streak in 2011, the defense held opponents to 13 or fewer points in four of the games. In the other two, Willis McGahee provided big games with over 100 yards rushing.
Even if Tebow had started all year for New York, it would not have been a success. Both the defense and the run game were too inconsistent to trust. In addition, the receivers were inexperienced and struggled all season.
However, Kansas City has the pieces to form a winning team if it finds the right quarterback.
Running back Jamaal Charles is currently third in the NFL with 1,456 rushing yards. He would be the perfect complement for Tebow if the two run a zone-read option together. Defenses will be forced to make a decision who to stop and either one can beat them.
The passing game will also be successful with a number of weapons that include Dwayne Bowe, Dexter McCluster, Jon Baldwin and Tony Moeaki. All of these players are capable of making tough catches and making things happen once they get the ball.
With these players, you would think that the Chiefs' offense would be rolling all year. Unfortunately, the quarterbacks have done nothing but hold the unit back.
Brady Quinn and Matt Cassel combined for eight touchdowns and 20 interceptions this season. Even when the team starts to drive down the field, a turnover halts them in their tracks. This has caused the Chiefs to be the lowest scoring team in the NFL with only 13.9 points per game.
In addition, the turnovers have hurt the defense by forcing them to defend with a short field behind them. The Chiefs are No. 25 in points allowed despite the fact that they are No. 17 in yards allowed.
One thing you can say for Tebow is that he does not turn the ball over. In 2011, Tebow only threw six interceptions for a rate of 2.2 percent. This is half as often as the Quinn/Cassel combination this year.
Tebow does not have the best accuracy, but it is only slightly worse than the current options and his intangibles make it a major upgrade.
Of course, there is always the possibility that the Chiefs fill this hole through the draft. Unfortunately, this class of quarterbacks is much worse than the previous one that could see three starters in the playoffs.
Tyler Wilson and Matt Barkley struggle with accuracy and decision-making ability, while Geno Smith might struggle to adapt to the pro-style offense. Even if one of these players is taken by Kansas City, it would serve them better in the long-term to start their careers on the bench.
In the meantime, Tebow could do his best to keep this team competitive.
Finally, there is a lot of speculation that the Florida native may end up in Jacksonville because it would help the struggling attendance numbers. However, this is slightly overblown.
The Jaguars have actually sold 96.8 percent of tickets this year and are in the middle of the pack in this category. Conversely, the Chiefs are No. 26 in the league in attendance (via ESPN). Kansas City could use the boost in popularity more than Jacksonville.
Tebow has already succeeded in the AFC West. A smart move would be to let him do it one more time for the Kansas City Chiefs.
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