Super Bowl 2013 Odds: Breaking Down Players with Best Chance to Win MVP

Rob Goldberg@TheRobGoldbergFeatured ColumnistFebruary 3, 2013

ATLANTA, GA - JANUARY 20:  (L-R) Vernon Davis #85 and Colin Kaepernick #7 of the San Francisco 49ers celebrate after Kaepernick threw a 4-yard touchdown pass to Davis in the second quarter against the Atlanta Falcons in the NFC Championship game at the Georgia Dome on January 20, 2013 in Atlanta, Georgia.  (Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images)
Streeter Lecka/Getty Images

As tough as it is to pick a Super Bowl winner, it is even tougher to predict which player is going to be named the Most Valuable Player of the game.

While it is often the quarterback of the winning team, every so often someone like Dexter Jackson surprises everyone by taking the award.

The San Francisco 49ers and the Baltimore Ravens are both loaded with talented players that are capable of making game-changing plays. However, some picks for MVP are better than others.

These are the best options for picking the MVP.


Colin Kaepernick, QB, 49ers (Odds: 8/5)

If the 49ers are able to win this game, there is a very good chance that it is because of Colin Kaepernick.

His ability to both run and throw the ball make him as important to his team as any quarterback in the NFL. If he struggles, the offense will slow down to a crawl.

However, he has shown over the past two games that he is capable of great things. Kaepernick rushed for 181 yards with two touchdowns against the Green Bay Packers, and then followed that up with a near-flawless passing game against the Atlanta Falcons.

San Francisco is listed as four-point favorites, according to Bovada. The team is expected to win, and the starting quarterback is by far the most likely to get the MVP award.


Ray Rice, RB, Ravens (Odds: 12/1)

While the quarterback position remains the most likely to win MVP, the Ravens have a slightly different dynamic compared to the 49ers.

Joe Flacco is talented, but there are more offensive weapons that can make a big enough impact to gain consideration.

One of those players is Ray Rice, who is still one of the top running backs in the NFL. He did not have a good day against the New England Patriots, but he rushed for 131 yards in the second round against the Denver Broncos.

Rice is also a good receiver out of the backfield and can break a simple screen pass for a touchdown. 

Comparing the odds for either Rice or Flacco to win MVP, the running back is a better bet.


Vernon Davis, TE, 49ers (Odds: 18/1)

As far as long-shot bets go, there are few better options than Vernon Davis. He is not the most consistent player, but the linebacker is capable of putting together a big-time performance on the sport's biggest stage.

Davis has now played in four playoff games and has scored five touchdowns in that time. He is also averaging 110.5 yards per appearance.

The 49ers do not have a lot of receiving targets healthy at this stage of the year. Most of Kaepernick's throws go to either Davis or wide receiver Michael Crabtree.

No tight end has ever been named Super Bowl MVP, but Davis can be the first.


Ray Lewis, LB, Ravens (Odds: 15/2)

It is difficult for a middle linebacker to make enough of an impact to sway voters. However, Ray Lewis is not your typical linebacker.

Playing in his last career game, the future Hall of Fame player is certain to gain plenty of support for the award in the event of a Ravens win.

In addition, he has put up quite impressive numbers since returning to the field from a triceps injury. In three playoff games, Lewis has 44 tackles and led the team in each contest.

Over the course of a 16 game season, this pace would net him 235 tackles, 71 more than NFL-leader Luke Kuechly.

These are not the best odds, but an emotional performance could definitely get him a second career Super Bowl MVP award.


Full MVP Odds according to Bovada

Player Team Pos. Odds
Colin Kaepernick SF QB 8/5
Joe Flacco BAL QB 11/4
Frank Gore SF RB 7/1
Ray Lewis BAL LB 15/2
Ray Rice BAL RB 12/1
Michael Crabtree SF WR 14/1
Anquan Boldin BAL WR 16/1
Vernon Davis SF TE 18/1
Torrey Smith BAL WR 20/1
Ed Reed BAL S 33/1
Aldon Smith SF LB 50/1



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