Since taking over the starting QB role for the San Francisco 49ers, Colin Kaepernick has exceeded nearly everyone's expectations. In only 10 games as a second-year starter, Kaepernick has beaten such luminaries as Brees, Brady and Rodgers. He set two NFL records in the process: 181 rushing yards by a QB and overcoming a 17-point deficit to win in a conference championship—neither of which have ever been done before
Can the Baltimore Ravens stop Kaepernick and the 49ers? Certainly both teams have potent offenses and stout defenses and have been playing superbly in the postseason. It could go either way.
What can we expect from the big game? If past history has any predictive value, it will be a close game with a lot of offense. Here's why: In his four years at Nevada, Kaepernick averaged 38 points per game (35.2 in his first year, 37.6 in his second year, 38.2 in his third year and 41 in his senior year). In his 10 NFL starts he is averaging 28.1 points per game—only a 10-point differential from college. So, I think it is reasonable to conclude Kaepernick and the 49ers will score somewhere in the vicinity of 28 points.
The Ravens have averaged 27.2 points per game this season with most of their lower scoring games in the first half of the season. They have clearly gelled with the return of Ray Lewis.
How the Ravens contend with Kaepernick will be crucial. We have seen that if you leave him uncovered, he can blow right through the secondary with his 4.43 40-yard speed. Stop him from running and he can kill you with his arm. He mixes plays well and has an arsenal of excellent receivers and backs. He is making good decisions and protecting the ball. The Ravens have to stop Kaepernick to win this game, but I'm not sure anyone has a answer to Kaepernick and the "Pistol" offense.
I think this game will come down to whoever makes the fewest mistakes. Turnovers will make the difference.
The 49ers and Kaepernick look like a team of destiny. As Coach Harbaugh says, Kaepernick competes like a "maniac." He is on a mission and is unstoppable when he is in the zone. On the night of his greatest college game he said, "I have to beat Boise State." Trailing by 21 at the half, he put on an unforgettable second-half performance with more than 350 yards of offense and willed his team to win. I think we will see that same intensity on Sunday.
San Francisco over Baltimore, 27-24. Kaepernick gets MVP.
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