March is finally here.
Birds are chirping, the sun is shining and the 2013 NCAA tournament is just around the corner.
As we look ahead to the conference tournaments and March Madness, we can say it's been a wild ride this season in college basketball. There have been numerous upsets and nobody—and I mean nobody—seems to want to be the No. 1 team in the nation for very long.
It sets up what could be one of the wildest NCAA tournaments in recent history. We could see more than the usual amount of upsets this year.
Case in point? I have the No. 2 team in the nation as a potential top seed in the tournament that should be worried.
Here's a look at all of them.
*All stats courtesy of TeamRankings.com
Current Record: 25-5
AP Ranking: 2
Projected Seed: 1
Projected Region: Midwest
Two of Indiana's losses this season have come in the last three games. Not only did the Hoosiers get bounced by Ohio State on Tuesday, they lost to unranked Minnesota on Feb. 26.
In the last three games, Indiana has struggled on both sides of the ball.
The Hoosiers rank sixth in the nation in field-goal percentage this season (49.1 percent), but in the last three games they shot 40.3 percent.
Indiana ranks 15th in the country in opponents' field-goal percentage (38.7 percent), but since the Minnesota loss the team is allowing opponents to shoot 42.4 percent from the floor.
The Hoosiers also rank 12th in the nation in total rebounding rate (55.1 percent of all available rebounds collected), but that number has dipped to 45.4 percent in the last three contests.
Indiana may have played well overall this season, but it's not how you start—it's how you finish.
Current Record: 23-6
AP Ranking: 6
Projected Seed: 2
Projected Region: South
Miami had a great run earlier this season, winning 14 straight games from January to mid-February. That included wins against ranked teams Duke and NC State.
But not only did the Hurricanes lose the rematch to Duke last Saturday, they've lost three of their past four games. That includes losses to unranked teams Wake Forest and Georgia Tech.
Miami isn't a very good offensive or rebounding team, so defense is crucial for this squad. But after allowing Wake Forest to shoot 54 percent and Duke and Georgia Tech to shoot 52 percent, the Hurricanes need to reverse that trend if they want to win many games in the tournament.
Current Record: 22-7
AP Ranking: 10
Projected Seed: 3
Projected Region: East
Michigan State head coach Tom Izzo takes pride in defense, but the defense has slipped in the Spartans' current three-game losing streak.
The Spartans rank 45th in the nation in opponents' field-goal percentage, but opponents are shooting nearly four percent better over the last three games.
The offense has also taken a nosedive. The Spartans rank 37th in field-goal percentage, but they're shooting just 41 percent over their last three contests. That includes shooting 36 percent in the 58-57 loss to rival Michigan on Sunday.
Michigan State lost back-to-back games right around this time last season but still advanced to the Sweet 16.
Then again, the Spartans had Draymond Green that year and were a better overall team.
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