2013 NFL Draft Analysis: Experts Weigh in on Day 1 Action

Rob Goldberg@TheRobGoldbergFeatured ColumnistApril 26, 2013

Every team in the NFL draft believes they made the right pick in the first round, but not everyone agrees.

For each pick, there are hundreds of experts and analysts either approving or second-guessing the move. While this does not make an impact on the future performance of the player, it gives fans a look at a general consensus about the selection.

Here is a look at analysis of the most interesting selections of Round 1.


No. 1 Kansas City Chiefs: Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michigan

Right out of the gate, the Kansas City Chiefs made a bit of a surprising move by selecting Eric Fisher with the No. 1 overall pick. He is an excellent lineman, but the general consensus was that Luke Joeckel of Texas A&M would go higher, according to NFL on ESPN:

Daniel Jeremiah of NFL.com discussed how important the Senior Bowl was to Fisher's stock:

Former coach of the Baltimore Ravens Brian Billick pointed out what he saw at the showcase:

Of course, not everyone was familiar with the offensive lineman out of Central Michigan. Darren Rovell of ESPN held a Twitter poll to see how many people knew who Fisher was a month ago:

This was a bit of a surprise after months of projecting Joeckel to go No. 1, but Kansas City is unlikely to regret this move.


No. 16 Buffalo Bills: E.J. Manuel, QB, Florida State

Arguably the most surprising pick of the first round was E.J. Manuel to the Buffalo Bills with the No. 16 pick. Ian Rapoport of NFL.com reported the selection with quite a bit of surprise:

Many expected former Syracuse coach Doug Marrone to draft his former quarterback Ryan Nassib, but the team went in another direction.

NFL Network's Mike Mayock is a huge fan of Manuel and was proud of the Bills for drafting him:

Meanwhile, Todd McShay of ESPN (via SportsCenter) had a slightly different opinion:

Time will tell whether this ends up being a good pick for Buffalo, but there is a lot of disagreement at the moment.


No. 18 San Francisco 49ers: Eric Reid, S, LSU

The 49ers were aggressive in the first round, trading up 13 spots from No. 31 to No. 18 to select the player they wanted. That turned out to be Eric Reid, who possibly could have been available later in the draft.

Still, the reaction was overall pretty positive from the experts as a replacement for Dashon Goldson. Jason La Canfora of CBS first reported the news:

ESPN's Chris Mortensen also believed in his value:

Skip Bayless of ESPN was even higher on Reid, saying that he was the best safety in the class:

The 49ers do not have a lot of needs, and they made sure they filled a big hole by trading up in the first round.


No. 23 Minnesota Vikings: Sharrif Floyd, DT, Florida

There were a few players who were surprising drops out of the first round, including Geno Smith and Manti Te'o. However, the biggest slide might have been Sharrif Floyd of Florida.

Bill Barnwell of Grantland points out that the defensive tackle was expected to go in the top three picks:

Jeff Darlington of NFL.com quotes Mike Mayock for a reason that he dropped, although the analyst does not believe in the excuse:

Finally, Floyd was taken by the Vikings with the 23rd pick, which brought high marks from ESPN's Todd McShay (via SportsCenter):

Regardless of your feelings on Floyd, it is pretty obvious that Minnesota got some good value with this pick.


Complete First-Round Results (via NFL.com)

Pick Team Player Position School
 1 Kansas City Chiefs Eric Fisher  OT  Central Michigan 
 2 Jacksonville Jaguars Luke Joeckel  OT  Texas A&M 
 3 Miami Dolphins (via OAK) Dion Jordan  DE  Oregon 
 4 Philadelphia Eagles Lane Johnson  OT  Oklahoma 
 5 Detroit Lions Ezekiel Ansah  DE  BYU 
 6 Cleveland Browns Barkevious Mingo  OLB  LSU 
 7 Arizona Cardinals Jonathan Cooper  OG  North Carolina 
 8 St. Louis Rams (via BUF) Tavon Austin WR  West Virginia 
 9 New York Jets Dee Milliner  CB  Alabama 
 10 Tennessee Titans  Chance Warmack OG  Alabama 
 11 San Diego Chargers  D.J. Fluker  OT  Alabama 
 12 Oakland Raiders (via MIA)  D.J. Hayden CB  Houston 
 13 New York Jets  Sheldon Richardson DT  Missouri 
 14 Carolina Panthers  Star Lotulelei  DT  Utah 
 15 New Orleans Saints Kenny Vaccaro  Texas 
 16 Buffalo Bills (via STL)  E.J. Manuel QB  Florida State 
 17 Pittsburgh Steelers  Jarvis Jones OLB  Georgia 
 18 San Francisco 49ers (via DAL)  Eric Reid  LSU 
 19 New York Giants  Justin Pugh  OT  Syracuse 
 20 Chicago Bears  Kyle Long OT  Oregon 
 21 Cincinnati Bengals  Tyler Eifert  TE  Notre Dame 
 22 Atlanta Falcons (via STL) Desmond Trufant  CB  Washington 
 23 Minnesota Vikings Sharrif Floyd  DT  Florida 
 24 Indianapolis Colts  Bjoern Werner OLB  Florida State 
 25 Minnesota Vikings  Xavier Rhodes  CB  Florida State 
 26 Green Bay Packers Datone Jones  DE  UCLA 
 27 Houston Texans  DeAndre Hopkins WR  Clemson 
 28 Denver Broncos  Sylvester Williams DT  North Carolina 
 29 Minnesota Vikings (via NE) Cordarrelle Patterson  WR  Tennessee 
 30 St. Louis Rams (via ATL) Alec Ogletree ILB  Georgia 
 31 Dallas Cowboys (via SF)  Travis Frederick Wisconsin 
 32 Baltimore Ravens  Matt Elam Florida 



    Congressman Blasts Jets Owner's Offer to Pay Anthem Fines

    NFL logo

    Congressman Blasts Jets Owner's Offer to Pay Anthem Fines

    Mike Chiari
    via Bleacher Report

    With New Policy, NFL Still Doesn’t Get It

    NFL logo

    With New Policy, NFL Still Doesn’t Get It

    Master Tesfatsion
    via Bleacher Report

    Players with Most to Lose in Their Contract Year

    NFL logo

    Players with Most to Lose in Their Contract Year

    Gary Davenport
    via Bleacher Report

    Report: Broncos Hire Ex-NBA GM Hinkie

    NFL logo

    Report: Broncos Hire Ex-NBA GM Hinkie

    Adam Wells
    via Bleacher Report