BCS Rankings Predictions 2013: How LSU's Loss to Ole Miss Will Impact Standings

Tyler BrookeSenior Analyst IIOctober 19, 2013

Oct 19, 2013; Oxford, MS, USA; Mississippi Rebels defensive back Charles Sawyer (3) makes an interception against LSU Tigers wide receiver Odell Beckham (3) during the game at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Spruce Derden-USA TODAY Sports
Spruce Derden-USA TODAY Sports

The LSU Tigers fell to the Ole Miss Rebels on a last-second field goal, and the first BCS rankings will look a lot different with the upset.

The 27-24 loss for the Tigers was a rough one.  Zach Mettenberger had been having a terrific season heading into Saturday, throwing for 1,890 yards, 15 touchdowns and just two interceptions.

Projected BCS Rankings
RankTeamCoaches PollHarris PollComputersPvs
2Florida State3314
4Ohio State4485
9Miami (Fla.)891014
12Texas A&M1011137
13Texas Tech13131916
14South Carolina14141812
17Virginia Tech19201618
18Northern Illinois21211722
20Fresno State18172319
B/R BCS Guru Samuel Chi

That quickly changed against Ole Miss.  Mettenberger threw for 274 yards and a touchdown, but also threw three interceptions in the loss.

The loss was a big one, but it wasn't the only one to happen in the Top 25 rankings.  According to ESPN Stats & Info, seven Top 25 teams fell through that game, with even more ranked teams likely falling later in the night:

The Top 10 had a number of losses on Saturday.  No. 6 LSU, No. 7 Texas A&M and No. 9 UCLA all lost inside of the Top 10, with No. 11 South Carolina falling as well.

Top 25 Teams to Lose At Time of LSU Loss
No. 6 LSUOle Miss27-24
No. 7 Texas A&MNo. 24 Auburn45-41
No. 9 UCLANo. 13 Stanford24-10
No. 11 South CarolinaTennessee23-21
No. 15 GeorgiaVanderbilt31-27
No. 22 FloridaNo. 14 Missouri36-17
No. 20 WashingtonArizona State53-24

The Tigers are going to fall, but with how big of a mess Saturday was, they won't fall as far as they would have on a normal week.  Still, the odds of them staying in the Top 10 are small, especially with how well some other teams played.

OXFORD, MS - OCTOBER 19:  Chief Brown #8 of the Ole Miss Rebels celebrates an interception against the LSU Tigers during a game at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium on October 19, 2013 in Oxford, Mississippi.  (Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images)
Stacy Revere/Getty Images

The No. 12 Baylor Bears won in a dominating performance once again this week, beating down Iowa State in a 71-7 victory to stay undefeated.  Meanwhile, without starting quarterback James Franklin, No. 14 Missouri moved to 7-0 with a big 36-17 win over No. 22 Florida.

What is going to hurt LSU so much in the initial BCS rankings is the fact that it now has two in-conference losses through eight games.  The Tigers are a talented team, but their biggest wins haven't been pretty.  They won 17-6 over Florida and 37-27 over TCU, but neither was convincing.  

The defense hasn't looked as intimidating this season, likely due to the fact that so many players went to the NFL.  After being such an intimidating force in 2012, the defense has given up at least 20 points in five of its eight games, as well as giving up 44 points to Georgia back in September.

With two losses already and upcoming games against Alabama and Texas A&M, things aren't looking good for the Tigers.  They're going to drop out of the Top 10 in the initial BCS rankings, and we could see them fall even further by the end of the season.