NFL Week 9 Picks: Enticing Early Lines Worth Betting This Weekend

Mike HoagCorrespondent IIOctober 29, 2013

Oct 27, 2013; Kansas City, MO, USA; Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver Dexter McCluster (22) celebrates with the fans after scoring a touchdown during the first half of the game against the Cleveland Browns at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

The early lines for Week 9 of the NFL season are out, and there are some enticing plays to bet your money on. Things might shift, so don't be afraid to jump early at some of these intriguing point spreads.

With bye weeks in full effect at the season's midpoint, you'll have to consider how much weight you put into a coaching staff and a team's psyche. That's especially true considering injuries that are piling up around the league.

Here's a look at picks against the spread for every Week 9 game, along with three highlighted picks that you should definitely take a gamble on this weekend.


NFL Picks Against the Spread - Week 9
Away TeamHome TeamSpreadPick
Cincinnati BengalsMiami DolphinsCIN (-1.5)CIN
Atlanta FalconsCarolina PanthersCAR (-7.5)CAR
Minnesota VikingsDallas CowboysDAL (-10.5)MIN
New Orleans SaintsNew York JetsNO (-5)NO
Tennessee TitansSt. Louis RamsTEN (-3)TEN
Kansas City ChiefsBuffalo BillsKC (-3)KC
San Diego ChargersWashington RedskinsEvenSD
Tampa Bay BuccaneersSeattle SeahawksSEA (-17)SEA
Baltimore RavensCleveland BrownsBAL (-3)CLE
Pittsburgh SteelersNew England PatriotsNE (-7)PIT
Indianapolis ColtsHouston TexansIND (-1.5)IND
Chicago BearsGreen Bay PackersGB (-10.5)GB
Odds current as of 10/28; via BetOnline



KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (-3) at Buffalo Bills

Are the Kansas City Chiefs the best team in the NFL as the lone unbeaten team through eight weeks? Maybe, maybe not. But they have been impressive against the spread (ATS) this season, so don’t be intimidated by a three-point spread in this one.

On the road, the Chiefs are 3-0 ATS and are 5-3 overall. Keep in mind, though, Buffalo is a perfect 4-0 ATS at home this season. While that’s some information to keep in your back pocket, it’s not enough to make me think they can keep this game close enough to cover those points.

Kansas City's defense has been tops in the league in most important categories. It hasn’t allowed more than 17 points per game this season, and the Chiefs offense has found ways to move the football with athletes like Jamaal Charles and Dexter McCluster finding room in space. Expect the team to find the end zone enough times to win by at least four in Buffalo this weekend.


NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (-5) at New York Jets

If you look at trends and use them to make your picks, you’re going with the New York Jets this week. Rex Ryan’s surprising team has alternated wins and losses every week this season and is coming off an embarrassing 49-9 trouncing by the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 8. The Jets are also 3-1 ATS at home and 5-3 overall.

New Orleans is just 1-2 ATS on the road and hasn’t looked like the same juggernaut offensively that it has at the Superdome.

Plus, there's always this to consider:

I'm sure others have noticed but next week's Saints-Jets game is the next installment of the Ryan Family Football Showdown Throwdown~!

— Dave Richard (@daverichard) October 28, 2013

Still, the Saints have been opportunistic at forcing turnovers and also taking care of the football. Currently they sit at third in the NFL with a plus-eight differential. On the flip side, the Jets have been abysmal, tied for last in the NFL with a minus-11 mark.

Look for Drew Brees and the Saints’ opportunistic defense to do enough to win by at least six against a rookie quarterback, even on the road.


INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (-1.5) at Houston Texans

Coming off of a bye week, the Indianapolis Colts and Houston Texans are two teams trending in completely opposite directions. Indy convincingly ended the Denver Broncos’ hopes for an unbeaten season in Week 7 and has won four of its past five games. Houston has lost five straight and is fading fast from playoff conversations.

Against the spread, the Colts are 2-1 on the road and 4-3 overall. Houston’s struggles have extended to the betting realm, as it has covered just once in seven games—that lone cover came on the road.

Losing Reggie Wayne for the season will hurt Andrew Luck and the Colts moving forward, especially this week against the Texans’ top-ranked pass defense—146 yards per game allowed. However, Luck finds a way to move the ball, either with his arm or his legs.

On the ground has been where Houston has been most vulnerable, giving up 122 yards per contest. Expect Trent Richardson to finally get going offensively in this one, mixed with some big runs by Luck, to give the Colts a narrow victory of two points or more.