Andre Brown's Updated 2013 Fantasy Outlook Heading into Week 11

Timothy RappFeatured ColumnistNovember 11, 2013

Nov 10, 2013; East Rutherford, NJ, USA;  New York Giants running back Andre Brown (35) celebrates third quarter touchdown against the Oakland Raiders at MetLife Stadium. New York Giants defeat the Oakland Raiders 24-20. Mandatory Credit: Jim O'Connor-USA TODAY Sports
Jim O'Connor-USA TODAY Sports

It's not surprising that Andre Brown has emerged as the New York Giants' lead back. We all expected that. But it was pretty surprising that he did so in such a huge way in Week 10 in his season debut, torching the Oakland Raiders for 115 rushing yards and a touchdown on a whopping 30 carries. 

That, I wholeheartedly admit, I did not see coming. 

In fact, last week, I projected Brown to touch the ball 10 times and accumulate just 50 yards from scrimmage, assuming he would be eased into action after both he and the team insinuated as much

Instead, I'm left chewing on this delicious crow. Yum. 

But now, we have a different question with Brown. It's not so much whether he's a viable fantasy starter going forward—he very obviously is after his performance on Sunday—but rather just how valuable he will be for owners down the stretch. 

First of all, assuming he can remain healthy and avoid the fumble bug that hit Giants runners this year, Brown is a talented back who should produce. In 10 games last year, he averaged an impressive 5.3 yards per carry and scored eight touchdowns.

He's not the typical handcuff that has value simply based on opportunity—Brown can really play. 

And he also has some tasty matchups coming up.

Next week, he faces a Green Bay defense that just allowed 155 rushing yards to LeSean McCoy. After that, he gets a Dallas team that is giving up 126.8 rushing yards per game, 28th in the NFL. Then it's Washington, who has given up 18 or more fantasy points to opposing running backs in standard-scoring leagues eight times this season. Finally, in Week 14, he faces a San Diego defense that's giving up 114.6 rushing yards per game, 20th in the NFL. 

Those are four very favorable matchups for Brown, and if you were savvy enough to snag him on waivers, he's an excellent starter for the next month. 

EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - NOVEMBER 10:  Andre Brown #35 of the New York Giants carries the ball as Charles Woodson #24 of the Oakland Raiders defends at MetLife Stadium on November 10, 2013 in East Rutherford, New Jersey.The New York Giants defeated the Oakla
Elsa/Getty Images

If he's still somehow available in your league, go and get him immediately. He's owned in just 25.2 percent of ESPN leagues and 49 percent of Yahoo! leagues, so you may yet be able to add him.

Is Brown a locked-and-loaded RB2 at this point? Probably not quite yet. While his performance against Oakland was impressive, it was still just one game. The Giants are averaging just 76.9 rushing yards per contest, 29th in the NFL, so maintaining realistic expectations for Brown is prudent. 

On the other hand, the Giants have had a running back score eight fantasy points or more in every game since Week 6, so their offense has been conducive to success from a fantasy perspective. Consider Brown a definite flex player, and if he repeats this week's performance against the Green Bay Packers, feel free to insert him in your RB2 slot moving forward.

It's rare you find a weekly starter in Week 10 of the NFL season, but that's exactly what Brown is offering.


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