Indianapolis Colts' 2014 Scouting Combine Stock Report
With the 2014 NFL Combine officially concluded, it's time to look back at the weekend in review. The biggest offseason gathering of NFL scouts, executives and coaches along with draftniks and player agents, the combine is useful for a number of different things.
Player stock will be affected in numerous ways at the combine, and although we don't have access to the most valuable part of the combine, the team interviews, we can assess the effect that performance in combine drills may affect certain players' draft stock.
For this particular piece, "Stock Up" could apply for a player who may have moved out of the Colts' reach with their second-round pick, or it could simply point to a player who should be on the Colts' radar. "Stock Down" could apply to a player who may slip down to the Colts' second-round pick, or a player who could simply be had later in the draft.
Stock Up: WR Donte Moncrief, Ole Miss
40 Time: 4.40 seconds
Bench: 13 reps
Vertical Jump: 39.5 inches
Broad Jump: 132 inches
Moncrief is a receiver who was expected to raise his stock with the combine, and he didn't disappoint. Moncrief had the third-fastest 40 time for receivers, and he pairs that with great size at 6'2" and 221 pounds. Both the vertical and broad jump marks by Moncrief were among the top marks for wide receivers as well, confirming an elite leaping ability that shows up on tape.
While the former Ole Miss receiver needs to polish his route-running abilities, Moncrief has the ideal physical skill set to be a No. 1 receiver in the NFL. While he may not reach that level right away, he certainly has the potential.
He may not make it all the way through the second round with the combine that he had, but if he does, don't be surprised to hear his name called at pick 59.
Stock Down: CB Loucheiz Purifoy, Florida
40 Time: 4.61 seconds
Bench: 6 reps
Vert Jump: 35.5 inches
Broad Jump: 120 inches
Purifoy is supposed to be a natural athlete, so the numbers he put up at the combine are extremely concerning. Consider this take from Nolan Nawroki, via NFL.com, from before the combine:
Lean, fluid, fast, finesse cover man whose raw physical ability and testing numbers belie frustratingly uneven performance. Has starter-caliber athleticism and will buoy his stock when the stopwatches come out, but poor instincts, tackling and tape are reasons for pause.
Purifoy's bench was the worst among all cornerbacks, and his 40-yard dash time was better than just five cornerbacks at the combine.
Expect a big drop for Purifoy, who already was dealing with some character concerns after an inconsistent senior season. Of course, that may mean that Indianapolis looks at him in the middle-to-later rounds.
Stock Up: WR Jordan Matthews, Vanderbilt
40 Time: 4.46 seconds
Bench: 21 reps
Vert Jump: 35.5 inches
Broad Jump: 120 inches
Unfortunately for Indianapolis, Matthews was one of the combine's most solid performers. Matthews, who's big frame—6'3", 212 pounds—has him projected as a very good possession receiver at the next level, showed that he's more than just a big target at the combine, clocking in at 4.46 seconds. That time puts Matthews in the top 15 receivers in the 40.
Matthews also showed off his strength with 21 reps in the bench press, the second-most among wide receivers. The strength is also evident on tape, where Matthews excelled at using his body to get separation and make catches in traffic.
With the success, Matthews may be out of the Colts' reach with their second-round pick. To get the Vanderbilt receiver, Indianapolis will likely need to trade up, an expensive endeavor.
Stock Down: LB Yawin Smallwood, Connecticut
40 Time: 5.01 seconds
Bench: 18 reps
Vert Jump: 36.5 inches
Broad Jump: 108 inches
Similarly to Loucheiz Purifoy, Smallwood's biggest assets as a prospect are his athleticism and fluidity on the field. While Smallwood isn't one of the bigger run-stopping linebackers, he's a three-down type of linebacker who can cover and quickly get sideline-to-sideline.
But the stopwatch wasn't kind to Smallwood at the Combine, as the Connecticut linebacker ran an extremely disappointing 5.01 in the 40. With Mike Mayock stating on-air that Smallwood seems like a sixth-round pick, a free-fall for Smallwood seems likely at this point.
Smallwood can bounce back at his pro day, but the Colts may be looking for him later in the draft rather than the second or third round.
Stock Up: CB Bradley Roby, Ohio State
40 Time: 4.39 seconds
Bench: 17 reps
Vert Jump: 38.5 inches
Broad Jump: 124 inches
Roby turned in one of the most all-around impressive performances in this year's combine, which was what was expected of him.
Good day for Bradley Roby. 4th among DBs in 40 (4.39), T-6th in vert (38.5"), T-11th in broad (10'4"), most fluid DB in his group's drills.— Dan Hope (@Dan_Hope) February 25, 2014
While Roby still has some character and mental concerns, his physical skills and past production in college will have NFL scouts drooling. Roby likely won't slip into the late second, or even the second at all, with his strong performance unless something happens off the field between now and May.
Stock Down: WR Allen Robinson, Penn State
40 Time: 4.60 seconds
Vert Jump: 39.0 inches
Broad Jump: 127 inches
Allen Robinson, viewed as a late first-rounder or early second-rounder by many, including CBSSports, may see himself slipping with a less-than-ideal 40 time in the combine. Robinson was never touted as the fastest receiver, but one would like to see more explosion from the receiver who is supposed to be a potential No. 1 receiver in the NFL.
Personally, I still like Robinson's ability to separate with route-running and body control and view him as a fantastic option if he falls into the late second round.
Stock Up: RB Dri Archer, Kent State
40 Time: 4.26 seconds
Bench: 20 reps
Vert Jump: 38.0 inches
Broad Jump: 122 inches
Running back isn't a huge priority for Indianapolis but with Vick Ballard coming off of an ACL injury and Trent Richardson disappointing in 2013, the Colts could use another rotational back. Dri Archer showed off his explosion with the fastest 40 time in the combine, and he was surprisingly strong with 20 bench reps.
Archer has great versatility and would be a big-play threat for Indianapolis as a runner, receiver and kick returner. Not only is this explosion lacking for the Colts at running back, but it would allow the Colts to keep WR T.Y. Hilton out of returning duties and out of harm's way.
Stock Down: RB Ka'Deem Carey, Arizona
40 Time: 4.70 seconds
Bench: 19 reps
Vert Jump: 32.5 inches
Broad Jump: 115 inches
On the other side of the running back coin is Arizona running back Ka'Deem Carey. Carey's 4.70 time in the 40 was extremely disappointing, but it wouldn't turn me away from drafting him for Indianapolis.
Carey is a more natural runner inside than some of the other versatile backs in this class, and he has the weight to stay healthy while taking a heavy beating at 207 pounds. Carey also possesses strong pass protections skills and some of the better hands among the backs in this year's class.
While character concerns may exist, as Carey had a few run-ins with authorities during his career at Arizona, Carey still has great physical traits, despite the slow 40. If that causes him to slip into a better value pick for the Colts, I wouldn't complain about him being picked.