Elite 8 2014 Bracket: Predictions, Odds and More

Chris Roling@@Chris_RolingFeatured ColumnistMarch 29, 2014

ANAHEIM, CA - MARCH 27:  Josh Gasser #21, Frank Kaminsky #44 and Ben Brust #1 of the Wisconsin Badgers celebrate in the second half while taking on the Baylor Bears during the regional semifinal of the 2014 NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament at the Honda Center on March 27, 2014 in Anaheim, California.  (Photo by Harry How/Getty Images)
Harry How/Getty Images

The stage is set for the Elite Eight, and the quick turnaround after a wild Sweet 16 means teams with momentum will clash while the iron is hot and fans have little time to recover.

On paper, the next round has everything fans can ask for in a tournament. Great defense vs. great offense. Contrasting styles. Individuals on opposite sides who can take over a game at will.

The beat goes on.


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With such a quick turnaround, it's important to get caught up with all of the pertinent info as quickly as possible. Here's a look at the schedule, odds and a deeper dive into two of the Elite Eight bouts. 


2014 NCAA Tournament - Elite Eight
Region Game Time (ET) TVPredicted Winner
South Dayton vs. Florida (-10)6:09 p.m. TBSFlorida
West Wisconsin vs. Arizona (-3)8:49 p.m. TBSWisconsin
Midwest Michigan vs. Kentucky5:05 p.m. CBSKentucky
East UConn vs. Michigan State2:20 p.m. CBSMichigan State
NCAA. Odds via Vegas Insider.

Note: Odds info courtesy of Vegas Insider.


(11) Dayton vs. (1) Florida

Mar 22, 2014; Orlando, FL, USA; Florida Gators forward Will Yeguete (15) reacts with center Patric Young (4) at the end of the second half of a men's college basketball game against the Pittsburgh Panthers during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournamen
Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Go ahead, get the "David vs. Goliath" and other tropes out of your system.

In all seriousness, not many penciled in Dayton as having what it takes to go this far. Sports Illustrated's Stewart Mandel put it best:

Alas, this is what happens when a team lives and dies from long range. Get hot at the right moment and great things can happen.

Florida has to understand this. Being the No. 1 overall seed and having not lost in 29 straight contests is great, but a team like the Flyers, led by an elite scorer like Jordan Sibert (18 points in Sweet 16 victory over Stanford), is not to be underestimated.

Credit where it's due—Florida center Patric Young understands the magnitude of the matchup, as captured by the Associated Press, via Sporting News:

"They've earned their spot here just as we have," Young said. "We're going to respect them, just as much as they respect us. We know they're a good team. If they're here, they are going to be one of the eight teams left."

Now combine that with the weight of expectations, as Lost Lettermen points out:

Florida will be up to the task. Dayton's guards won't find it so easy to slash in the paint against a defense that ranked in the top three with just 57.8 points allowed per game in the regular season. Sibert will get his, but names like Michael Frazier II and Scottie Wilbekin are hot at the right time and have more than enough to outscore a mega effort from Sibert.

Prediction: Florida 68, Dayton 61


(2) Wisconsin vs. (1) Arizona

Mar 27, 2014; Anaheim, CA, USA; (Editor's Note: Caption Correction) Arizona Wildcats guard Nick Johnson (13) celebrates against San Diego State Aztecs forward Dwayne Polee II (5) during the second half in the semifinals of the west regional of the 2014 NC
Richard Mackson-USA TODAY Sports

It sounds silly to say at this stage of the Big Dance, but both of these teams in particular are on a roll.

Arizona moved past San Diego State in the Sweet 16—despite Nick Johnson missing his first ten shots. Meanwhile, Wisconsin absolutely obliterated a strong Baylor defense with relative ease and won the battle on the glass by a pretty significant margin.

So how does one determine a winner? 

Easy. Roll with the team that can still pick up critical wins despite a poor performance from its best player.

That team here is the Wildcats, which saw the likes of Rondae Hollis-Jefferson and Aaron Gordon step up in a major way while Johnson struggled for the first 17 minutes of the Sweet 16 matchup.

Not only will Wisconsin have to trump an elite team, it has to best history as well, as ESPN Stats & Information captures:

To reach the Final Four, Wisconsin will have to do something it has never done under Bo Ryan - beat a Top 4 seed - and at the same time, also beat a higher seed. Under Ryan, the Badgers are just 1-7 as a lower seed and are 0-6 against Top-4 seeds and have never beaten a team seeded better than 5th.

That's a tall order, and one the red hot Badgers won't be able to fulfill. They're due to come back down to Earth at some point, whereas that drop-off does not exist for the Wildcats thanks to a deep roster that can produce consistency regardless of who shows up.

Prediction: Arizona 75, Wisconsin 70


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