NRL Round 13 Betting Preview: Game Odds, Trends, Analysis for Week Ahead

OddsShark.com@@OddsSharkFeatured ColumnistMay 31, 2017

AUCKLAND, NEW ZEALAND - MAY 27:  Benji Marshall of the Broncos makes a break during the round 12 NRL match between the New Zealand Warriors and the Brisbane Broncos at Mt Smart Stadium on May 27, 2017 in Auckland, New Zealand.  (Photo by Anthony Au-Yeung/Getty Images)
Anthony Au-Yeung/Getty Images

The Brisbane Broncos will hope to have their six State of Origin players back for Saturday's crucial clash with the Sydney Roosters at Allianz Stadium, Sydney.

The Broncos did not fare well without their six best players last week against the Warriors, dropping crucial points in their battle for a top-four spot. Similarly, the Roosters were without five of their best 13, and went down to the Canberra Raiders.

With just three days between Origin 1 and this match, the race will be on to get those 11 players freshened up in time to play here.

Understandably, punters are nervous to invest until they know who will play, and as it stands the Roosters, fifth, are $1.65 AUD favourites, with the Broncos (fourth) the $2.18 outsiders, according to AustralianGambling.com.au. That could change dramatically depending on selection on the day.

Melbourne Storm Origin trio Cameron Smith, Cooper Cronk and Will Chambers have less than 48 hours to recover ahead of their side's home clash against bottom-of-the table Newcastle Knights on Friday.

At least the Storm have a relatively easy match confronting them with the Knights having won just twice in their past 29 matches. The oddsmakers have the Storm as the shortest priced team of the round at $1.14 with the Knights at $5.85 with a 16-point head start at the line.



The two Sunday matches are expected to be anything but one-sided, with the market unable to separate Manly and Canberra when they meet at Lottoland. Both teams have six wins for the season and are $1.91 for the win.

Further down the ladder, Canterbury and Penrith will be desperate to secure some points when they meet at ANZ Stadium. The Panthers, 10th, are $1.80 betting favourites with the Bulldogs, one spot below them, at $2.04. They are both two points shy of a spot in the finals.

The winner of that match would vault past Parramatta (ninth) should the Eels fail to deal with the New Zealand Warriors on Friday night.

The oddsmakers have Parramatta as $1.66 favourites, but they have lost four of their past five against the Warriors ($2.25), including a 22-10 defeat to them in Round 6. But the Warriors are 0-5 on the road this year.

St George Illawarra snapped a three-match losing streak by beating the Warriors last time out. They are $1.30 to beat the Wests Tigers ($3.60) on Saturday and cement their spot in the top four.

With just four points separating sixth from 13th, the pressure is on the seventh-placed North Queensland Cowboys to get the job done when they host the Gold Coast Titans (12th) on Saturday night.

The Cowboys have won four straight against their Queensland rivals and go into this one as $1.48 favourites, with the Titans $2.70 outsiders having not won in Townsville since 2012.

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