Larry French/Getty ImagesNovember 22, 2009
Green Bay plays Detroit in the early Thanksgiving game. The Packers have good match-ups and can control this game. Take Green Bay to be at 7-4 possibly.
Dallas has a showcase game against Oakland in the house that Jerry built. Dallas wins on Thanksgiving, almost always. Home teams on holidays are money.
The last Thanksgiving game is Denver at home against the Giants. Both teams need the win. Denver and the home crowd should win a close one.
Seattle is at the St. Louis rest stop in the NFL. Seattle gets a win at last.
Miami at 5-5 can handle Buffalo, and stay in a playoff race, A string of wins is needed.
Cleveland travels to Cincinnati and gets mauled by the hungry Bengals. The Bengals will be at a healthy 9-2, and the second-best team in the AFC.
Houston can put themselves in a nice position, and maybe a 7-4 record. This would be my upset pick of the week. Houston at home. Matt Schaub gets points every week. Take care of the football, Houston.
Atlanta will outscore Tampa Bay by double in a rout in Atlanta. The Falcons have to win this one, for early playoff implications.
Philadelphia has Washington, at home, where they are really good. In the Eagles scheme must be balance. Could be low scoring, with the pass defenses. Take the Eagles at home.
Carolina has nothing to lose at 4-6 now, so the Jets get caught by the I don't care, fancy-free style, which will beat you sometimes. Delhomme looks unbeatable in this one. Panthers win in upset.
The Forty-Niners host the Jags and can win this game, with defense. Stop one receiver, and one running back and you win. Simple formula if you can pull it off. San Francisco wins big in this one, however. Frank Gore, two Touchdowns.
San Diego should have no trouble with Kansas City in a division game. The Chargers at home are a comfortable pick.
Minnesota wins their home game against Chicago for a chokehold on that division. New Orleans and Minnesota is going to be a good one.
The Cardinals on the road have been great, so is the clunker due? Tennessee is desperate to get this win at home. I think they get after Warner early, and Chris Johnson gets a couple of early scores.
Tennessee wins a close one at home.
They just keep getting better, as Pittsburgh travels to Baltimore to face the Ravens. Pittsburgh and Baltimore really need the win here. This will be a war. Steelers just seem better than the Ravens this season. Take Pittsburgh in another close one.
New England travels to New Orleans in a big Monday Night Football game. I like Tom Brady to win this game on the last possession.
For the season, I am around 106-52 in my pick articles with no point spreads. In my weekly point spread articles, I am 91-67 approximately following Week 11 action.
Have a great week and good luck to all your teams.
Thomas [NFL Mikee] Moreland