Fantasy

2011 Fantasy Baseball: 9 Early Success Stories to Avoid Acquiring

Joey HnathCorrespondent IJune 6, 2011

2011 Fantasy Baseball: 9 Early Success Stories to Avoid Acquiring

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    NEW YORK, NY - JUNE 04: Carlos Beltran #15 of the New York Mets reacts after striking out to end the bottom of the third inning against the Atlanta Braves at Citi Field on June 4, 2011 in the Flushing neighborhood of the Queens borough of New York City. (
    Christopher Pasatieri/Getty Images

    With a third of the 2011 MLB season in the books, there have been several surprise players who have emerged.

    Both pitchers and hitters have surprised fantasy owners and given them great production for either later-round draft picks or waiver pickups.

    However, it is important to know which players will be able to keep up this production and which ones will falter.

    Here are nine early success stories you need to avoid acquiring.

Carlos Quentin

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    CHICAGO, IL - JUNE 03: Carlos Quentin #20 of the Chicago White Sox hits a three-run homer against the Detroit Tigers in the fourth inning on June 3, 2011 at U.S. Cellular Field in Chicago, Illinois.  (Photo by David Banks/Getty Images)
    David Banks/Getty Images

    Carlos Quentin has always been a home run hitter and has proven that this season with 14 dingers so far.

    Though he hits a lot of home runs, Quentin doesn’t do much else. His 2011 average is 10 points higher than his career average, and he has never batted in runs at this clip before.

    Also, Quentin has never played in more than 131 games in a season before.

    All signs point to a drop-off for the remainder of the season for Quentin.

Kyle Lohse

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    ST. LOUIS, MO - MAY 18: Starter Kyle Lohse #26 of the St.Louis Cardinals pitches against the Houston Astros at Busch Stadium on May 18, 2011 in St. Louis, Missouri.  (Photo by Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images)
    Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images

    With ace Adam Wainwright lost for the season, Cardinals pitcher Kyle Lohse has helped fill the void.

    Lohse is 7-2 with a 2.41 ERA in 2011, but don’t expect this success to continue.

    In his career, Lohse only has one season with a sub-4.00 ERA.

    Lohse can only go downhill from here.

Lance Berkman

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    ST. LOUIS, MO - MAY 17: Lance Berkman #12 of the of the St. Louis Cardinals hits a walk-off single against the Philadelphia Phillies Busch Stadium on May 17, 2011 in St. Louis, Missouri.  (Photo by Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images)
    Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images

    Lance Berkman has found the fountain of youth in St. Louis this season.

    He is putting up numbers similar to those of the mid-2000s, when he played with Houston. Berkman has 12 homers with a .329 average and 1.043 OPS.

    Berkman’s age is a real concern though. At 35, he is more prone to nagging injuries. For instance, he missed Sunday’s game due to receiving a cortisone shot in his wrist.

    He has been a good story this season, but Berkman’s production will start to decline.

Alexi Ogando

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    CLEVELAND, OH - JUNE 3: Alexi Ogando #41 of the Texas Rangers pitches during the first inning against the Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field on June 3, 2011 in Cleveland, Ohio.  (Photo by Jason Miller/Getty Images)
    Jason Miller/Getty Images

    Alexi Ogando has had a great season in 2011, going 6-0 with a 2.20 ERA and 0.88 WHIP.

    Despite the great numbers, Ogando is not guaranteed a rotation spot.

    Pitchers Tommy Hunter and Brandon Webb are close to returning from the DL, and Ogando could lose his rotation spot to one of the two.

    Though he could still remain in the rotation, take a wait-and-see approach if you are thinking about acquiring Ogando.

Jeff Francoeur

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    KANSAS CITY, MO - JUNE 2: Jeff Francoeur #21 of the Kansas City Royals steps on second base on his way to a triple against the Minnesota Twins at Kauffman Stadium on June 2, 2011 in Kansas City, Missouri. The Twins defeated the Royals 8-2. (Photo by G. Ne
    G. Newman Lowrance/Getty Images

    Since arriving in Kansas City in the offseason, Jeff Francoeur has helped the Royals offense greatly.

    Francoeur is hitting .276 with nine homers and 35 RBI.

    Despite the hot start, expect Francoeur to cool off. Over the past three years, Frenchy is hitting just .216 in the month of July.

    Francoeur is at peak value and will only go down throughout the season.

Justin Masterson

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    CLEVELAND, OH - JUNE 3: Justin Masterson #63 of the Cleveland Indians pitches during the first inning against the Texas Rangers at Progressive Field on June 3, 2011 in Cleveland, Ohio.  (Photo by Jason Miller/Getty Images)
    Jason Miller/Getty Images

    After a fast start to the season, Justin Masterson has slowly come back down to earth.

    Masterson is 5-4 with a 3.28 ERA, but he’s given up 10 earned runs over his past two starts.

    He will still be a solid pitcher, but don’t expect Masterson to be the ace of your pitching staff.

Carlos Beltran

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    NEW YORK, NY - JUNE 03:  Carlos Beltran #15 of the New York Mets slides into home against the Atlanta Braves at Citi Field on June 3, 2011 in the Flushing neighborhood of the Queens borough of New York City.  (Photo by Nick Laham/Getty Images)
    Nick Laham/Getty Images

    After missing about a year’s worth of baseball, Carlos Beltran has come back strong in 2011, belting nine homers and knocking in 33 runs.

    However, at age 34 and having recent injuries, it is no guarantee Beltran will make it through the season.

    Beltran is currently day-to-day after injuring his leg Sunday night against the Braves.

    Look elsewhere for offensive help.

Bartolo Colon

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    ANAHEIM, CA - JUNE 05:  Bartolo Colon #40 of the New York Yankees throws a pitch against the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim on June 5, 2011 at Angel Stadium in Anaheim, California.  (Photo by Stephen Dunn/Getty Images)
    Stephen Dunn/Getty Images

    After not pitching since 2009, Bartolo Colon has been a good starter for the Yankees in 2011.

    Colon is 3-3 with 62 strikeouts and a 3.26 ERA.

    Colon, however, hasn’t pitched this well since 2005, and at 38 years old, he could break down this summer.

    He has been a great comeback story, but it is hard to imagine Colon lasting the whole season.

Johnny Damon

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    MINNEAPOLIS, MN - APRIL 28: Johnny Damon #22 of the Tampa Bay Rays singles against the Minnesota Twins in the second inning of their game on April 28, 2011 at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. The Rays defeated the Twins 15-3. (Photo by Hannah Fosli
    Hannah Foslien/Getty Images

    At age 37, Johnny Damon is still producing for the Tampa Bay Rays, hitting seven homers and stealing six bases.

    Due to his age, though, it will be hard for Damon to keep this kind of production up for the whole season.

    The steals could start to go away, as Damon’s legs could tire out. Also, with top prospect Desmond Jennings waiting in the wings, Damon’s playing time could get cut short due if Jennings were to get called up.

    Damon has been a great player for many years, but he won’t be a viable fantasy option for much longer.

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