UFC 136 Fight Card: Jose Aldo vs Kenny Florian Breakdown and Prediction

Andrew BarrCorrespondent IOctober 8, 2011

UFC 136 is just hours away and Jose Aldo is set to defend his featherweight championship against UFC veteran Kenny Florian.

Aldo is considered by many to be the No. 3 pound-for-pound fighter on the planet and has not lost a fight in over five years.

At UFC 129, Aldo defeated Mark Hominick, winning his first title defense in the UFC, and he'll be looking to carry that momentum into this fight and once again defend his belt.

For Florian, this will be just his second fight at 145 lbs. He moved to featherweight earlier this year, defeating Diego Nunes by unanimous decision, and becoming the first fighter to compete in four different UFC weight classes.

This will be Kenny's third crack at UFC gold, having dropped title fights to Sean Sherk and BJ Penn in the lightweight division, and—at the age of 35—it will likely be his last chance to become a champion.

Both men want more than anything to be champion by the end of UFC 136, but only one man can walk out of the Toyota center with the featherweight strap.

So, who's going to win it?

There are no certainties in MMA, but the smart money is on Jose Aldo.

Florian has great striking, it's technical and efficient, but Aldo has better technique, more power, and will likely be much faster.

If Florian is unable to get this fight to the ground, it's going to be a long night for him.


To win this fight, Florian will need to get a hold of Aldo and bring the fight to the ground. If he can maintain top position, he should do well. Florian has good jiu-jitsu and has never been submitted while in top position.

The key for Aldo in this fight will be using his speed and striking to avoid Florian's takedown attempts and punish Florian when he leaves openings.

Kicks will also be important for Aldo to utilize, as it will stifle Florian's movement and make it harder for Florian to catch takedowns. Aldo will need to be careful when he kicks, however, as they could open him up to being taken down.

As nice as it would be to see Florian finally earn himself a UFC championship, I'm predicting Aldo will be leaving UFC 136 with his featherweight belt.

It's going to be a closer fight than many people think and Florian will have some success late in the fight, but Aldo will be able to control most of the fight with his striking and will win a unanimous decision.

It's possible that Aldo could win by TKO, but Florian has an excellent chin, so I think he'll be able to absorb whatever is thrown at him.

Winner: Jose Aldo via Unanimous Decision

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